Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 7 trades in period

-6.91%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,123.40
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$11,948.71
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 00:01:27

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,948.71
Current Value
$11,123.40
Period P&L
$-825.31
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+2.32%
Worst Trade
-2.95%
Avg Trade Return
-1.00%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,259.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-825.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-825.31
Gross Return
-6.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,948.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $86.75 138 $11,948.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.15 138 $11,865.38 $11,865.38 $-83.33
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $86.89 137 $11,865.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $85.25 137 $11,640.75 $11,640.75 $-224.63
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $80.19 145 $11,640.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.47 145 $11,391.14 $11,391.14 $-249.61
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $77.45 147 $11,391.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $75.96 147 $11,172.00 $11,172.00 $-219.14
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $75.50 148 $11,172.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.25 148 $11,430.95 $11,430.95 +$258.95
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.42 150 $11,430.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $74.16 150 $11,093.62 $11,093.62 $-337.33
(-3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $80.10 138 $11,093.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.32 138 $11,123.40 $11,123.40 +$29.78
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,123.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,123.40
Total Return: +11.23%
Back to Wrecking Ball