Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 25 trades in period

-3.63%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,255.36
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$14,792.45
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.0/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 58.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 57.9

30-Day Momentum

25
+1.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.2 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,792.45
Current Value
$14,255.36
Period P&L
$-537.09
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+4.02%
Worst Trade
-5.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$696,450.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-537.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-537.09
Gross Return
-3.63%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,792.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $223.63 66 $14,698.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $220.05 66 $14,463.49 $14,463.49 $-234.64
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:30am ET $224.63 64 $14,463.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.05 64 $13,653.18 $13,653.18 $-810.31
(-5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $209.13 65 $13,653.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $211.89 65 $13,833.70 $13,833.70 +$180.52
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:45am ET $220.45 63 $13,833.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $218.11 63 $13,687.17 $13,687.17 $-146.53
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:30am ET $221.26 62 $13,687.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.14 62 $13,679.75 $13,679.75 $-7.42
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET $229.44 60 $13,679.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $228.51 60 $13,624.30 $13,624.30 $-55.45
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET $221.67 61 $13,624.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $215.42 61 $13,240.16 $13,240.16 $-384.14
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET $213.26 62 $13,240.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $216.40 62 $13,434.79 $13,434.79 +$194.63
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $216.10 62 $13,434.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.44 62 $13,331.59 $13,331.59 $-103.20
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $214.31 62 $13,331.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $211.66 62 $13,166.74 $13,166.74 $-164.85
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET $205.73 64 $13,166.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.13 64 $13,448.34 $13,448.34 +$281.60
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $208.65 64 $13,448.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $217.04 64 $13,989.11 $13,989.11 +$540.77
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET $216.22 65 $13,989.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $216.27 65 $13,992.35 $13,992.35 +$3.24
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $213.56 66 $13,992.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $217.69 66 $14,262.95 $14,262.95 +$270.60
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET $219.32 65 $14,262.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $217.35 65 $14,134.84 $14,134.84 $-128.11
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $217.17 65 $14,134.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.29 65 $13,947.39 $13,947.39 $-187.45
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:50am ET $210.70 66 $13,947.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.21 66 $14,179.34 $14,179.34 +$231.95
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET $213.86 66 $14,179.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.84 66 $14,244.32 $14,244.32 +$64.98
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.63 68 $14,244.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $211.82 68 $14,324.80 $14,324.80 +$80.48
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:00am ET $215.45 66 $14,324.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $216.31 66 $14,381.98 $14,381.98 +$57.18
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:30am ET $212.34 68 $14,381.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.60 68 $13,993.21 $13,993.21 $-388.77
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:25am ET $202.52 69 $13,993.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $202.46 69 $13,988.72 $13,988.72 $-4.49
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $201.29 69 $13,988.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.13 69 $14,325.08 $14,325.08 +$336.36
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $199.27 72 $14,325.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $200.60 72 $14,421.05 $14,421.05 +$95.97
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $198.88 73 $14,421.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.59 73 $14,255.36 $14,255.36 $-165.69
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,255.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,255.36
Total Return: +42.55%
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