Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 22:37:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 64.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 63.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-7.8%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-61 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,428.86
Current Value
$15,870.95
Period P&L
$442.09
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$571,546.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$442.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$442.09
Gross Return
+2.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,428.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $361.72 43 $15,428.86
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $370.52 43 $15,804.00 $15,804.00 +$375.14
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.58 43 $15,804.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.62 43 $16,065.11 $16,065.11 +$261.11
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $368.73 44 $16,065.11
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.86 44 $16,724.09 $16,724.09 +$658.98
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 39 $16,724.09
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.89 39 $16,728.43 $16,728.43 +$4.34
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 40 $16,728.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.05 40 $16,964.71 $16,964.71 +$236.28
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $422.21 40 $16,964.71
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.96 40 $16,633.22 $16,633.22 $-331.49
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $414.63 40 $16,633.22
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.90 40 $16,604.14 $16,604.14 $-29.08
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 40 $16,604.14
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $407.27 40 $16,234.23 $16,234.23 $-369.91
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $402.38 40 $16,234.23
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $420.85 40 $16,979.41 $16,979.41 +$745.18
(+4.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $415.85 41 $16,979.41
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.25 41 $17,199.90 $17,199.90 +$220.49
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $415.87 41 $17,199.90
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.16 41 $17,211.89 $17,211.89 +$11.99
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $411.58 42 $17,211.89
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $449.11 42 $18,781.36 $18,781.36 +$1,569.47
(+9.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $446.97 42 $18,781.36
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $428.08 42 $17,987.62 $17,987.62 $-793.74
(-4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $422.77 43 $17,987.62
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.65 43 $17,174.14 $17,174.14 $-813.48
(-4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $398.06 43 $17,174.14
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.42 43 $16,844.52 $16,844.52 $-329.62
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $394.99 43 $16,844.52
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.57 43 $16,186.63 $16,186.63 $-657.89
(-3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $373.55 43 $16,186.63
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.26 43 $15,870.95 $15,870.95 $-315.68
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,870.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,870.95
Total Return: +58.71%
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