Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 13 trades in period

-8.06%
Last 3 Months Return
$91,846.11
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$99,900.58
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:37:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

80
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
24.2/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 80.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 79.6

30-Day Momentum

31
+11.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$99,900.58
Current Value
$91,846.11
Period P&L
$-8,054.47
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+13.40%
Worst Trade
-19.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,293,337.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-8,054.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-8,054.47
Gross Return
-8.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $99,900.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,072.10 93 $99,954.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,125.39 93 $104,923.02 $104,923.02 +$4,968.40
(+5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $1,137.10 92 $104,923.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $984.31 92 $90,824.71 $90,824.71 $-14,098.31
(-13.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $922.66 98 $90,824.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $978.69 98 $96,340.70 $96,340.70 +$5,515.99
(+6.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $959.86 100 $96,340.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $848.95 100 $85,208.72 $85,208.72 $-11,131.98
(-11.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $873.26 98 $85,208.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $990.24 98 $96,623.09 $96,623.09 +$11,414.37
(+13.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $920.60 105 $96,623.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $737.88 105 $77,444.99 $77,444.99 $-19,178.10
(-19.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $863.42 90 $77,444.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $892.70 90 $80,071.28 $80,071.28 +$2,626.29
(+3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $880.91 91 $80,071.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $911.16 91 $82,820.42 $82,820.42 +$2,749.14
(+3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $973.40 85 $82,820.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $966.72 85 $82,251.54 $82,251.54 $-568.88
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET $924.79 89 $82,251.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $932.67 89 $82,952.39 $82,952.39 +$700.85
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:20am ET $936.65 89 $82,952.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,014.95 89 $89,886.86 $89,886.86 +$6,934.47
(+8.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $1,020.40 88 $89,886.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $924.29 88 $81,420.81 $81,420.81 $-8,466.05
(-9.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $924.89 88 $81,420.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,043.31 88 $91,846.11 $91,846.11 +$10,425.30
(+12.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $91,846.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$81,846.11
Total Return: +818.46%
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