Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
8.7/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 78.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 76.9

30-Day Momentum

38
+5.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.1 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,542.73
Current Value
$19,678.91
Period P&L
$1,136.19
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+2.82%
Worst Trade
-1.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$446,099.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,136.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,136.19
Gross Return
+6.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $18,542.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $709.16 26 $18,172.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $705.54 26 $18,080.05 $18,080.05 $-92.77
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $726.23 25 $18,080.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $722.65 25 $17,990.92 $17,990.92 $-89.13
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $716.23 25 $17,990.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $717.69 25 $18,027.59 $18,027.59 +$36.67
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $690.27 26 $18,027.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $708.95 26 $18,515.38 $18,515.38 +$487.79
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $695.75 27 $18,515.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $682.06 27 $18,151.06 $18,151.06 $-364.32
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $669.11 27 $18,151.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $688.01 27 $18,663.62 $18,663.62 +$512.56
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $710.91 26 $18,663.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $720.80 26 $18,923.26 $18,923.26 +$259.64
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $720.03 26 $18,923.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $710.95 26 $18,684.76 $18,684.76 $-238.50
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $705.89 26 $18,684.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $711.30 26 $18,828.09 $18,828.09 +$143.33
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $706.99 27 $18,828.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $717.61 27 $19,110.91 $19,110.91 +$282.82
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $707.78 27 $19,110.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $709.16 27 $19,148.31 $19,148.31 +$37.40
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $701.91 27 $19,148.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $721.36 27 $19,678.91 $19,678.91 +$530.60
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,678.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,678.91
Total Return: +96.79%
Back to Wrecking Ball