Compendium › Wrecking Ball › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-27 to present • 7 trades in period

+5.01%
Last 3 Months Return
$18,131.50
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$17,266.44
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 22:42:01

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

73
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.9/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
7.9/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 75.6/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 73.0

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,266.44
Current Value
$18,131.50
Period P&L
$865.06
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+2.65%
Worst Trade
-2.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$250,501.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$865.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$865.06
Gross Return
+5.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $17,266.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $568.35 30 $17,266.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $577.44 30 $17,542.59 $17,542.59 +$276.15
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 31 $17,542.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $587.87 31 $17,949.80 $17,949.80 +$407.21
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $646.92 28 $17,949.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $664.09 28 $18,426.07 $18,426.07 +$476.27
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $710.09 26 $18,426.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $700.39 26 $18,174.24 $18,174.24 $-251.83
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $734.46 25 $18,174.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $716.00 25 $17,717.45 $17,717.45 $-456.79
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:40am ET $715.85 25 $17,717.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $716.83 25 $17,741.71 $17,741.71 +$24.26
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $721.88 25 $17,741.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $737.74 25 $18,131.50 $18,131.50 +$389.79
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,131.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,131.50
Total Return: +81.31%
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