Compendium › Wrecking Ball › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 9 trades in period

+0.64%
Last 3 Months Return
$35,062.24
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$34,837.90
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:41:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 73.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 68.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$34,837.90
Current Value
$35,062.24
Period P&L
$224.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-8.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$594,493.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$224.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$224.34
Gross Return
+0.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $34,837.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $414.00 84 $34,837.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $402.98 84 $33,910.57 $33,910.57 $-927.33
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $396.41 86 $33,910.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $394.19 86 $33,720.66 $33,720.66 $-189.91
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $378.38 89 $33,720.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $378.92 89 $33,768.77 $33,768.77 +$48.11
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $337.91 100 $33,768.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.24 100 $30,903.65 $30,903.65 $-2,865.12
(-8.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $298.36 104 $30,903.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $311.12 104 $32,225.31 $32,225.31 +$1,321.66
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET $340.42 95 $32,225.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.89 95 $31,890.21 $31,890.21 $-335.10
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $340.31 94 $31,890.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.94 94 $32,698.92 $32,698.92 +$808.71
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $343.72 95 $32,698.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.76 95 $33,178.49 $33,178.49 +$479.57
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $356.14 93 $33,178.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $376.36 93 $35,062.24 $35,062.24 +$1,883.75
(+5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $35,062.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$25,062.24
Total Return: +250.62%
Back to Wrecking Ball