Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 22:39:08

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.7/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
6.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 72.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 72.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-71 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$36,506.97
Current Value
$33,457.19
Period P&L
$-3,049.78
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+4.65%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$693,637.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,049.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,049.78
Gross Return
-8.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $36,506.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $363.05 101 $36,506.97
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.39 101 $37,346.12 $37,346.12 +$839.15
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 102 $37,346.12
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.84 102 $35,444.96 $35,444.96 $-1,901.16
(-5.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET $392.92 90 $35,444.96
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.13 90 $34,922.65 $34,922.65 $-522.31
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 93 $34,922.65
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.33 93 $35,449.26 $35,449.26 +$526.61
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $433.71 82 $35,449.26
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.49 82 $32,978.95 $32,978.95 $-2,470.31
(-7.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:30am ET $414.67 80 $32,978.95
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $433.95 80 $34,511.96 $34,511.96 +$1,533.01
(+4.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $430.16 80 $34,511.96
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.74 80 $33,996.88 $33,996.88 $-515.08
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $409.65 83 $33,996.88
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.30 83 $32,889.27 $32,889.27 $-1,107.61
(-3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $387.41 85 $32,889.27
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.99 85 $34,296.83 $34,296.83 +$1,407.56
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $390.50 88 $34,296.83
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.94 88 $33,457.19 $33,457.19 $-839.64
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $33,457.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$23,457.19
Total Return: +234.57%
Back to Wrecking Ball