Compendium › Wrecking Ball › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 17 trades in period

-0.16%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,000.49
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$15,023.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.5/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 60.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 60.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-1.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-58 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,023.85
Current Value
$15,000.49
Period P&L
$-23.36
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+4.35%
Worst Trade
-5.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$496,319.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-23.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-23.36
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,023.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $497.23 30 $15,023.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $496.57 30 $15,004.06 $15,004.06 $-19.79
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $515.41 29 $15,004.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.47 29 $14,510.92 $14,510.92 $-493.14
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:30am ET $493.43 29 $14,510.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $480.24 29 $14,123.02 $14,123.02 $-387.90
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET $489.06 29 $14,123.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.91 29 $13,916.54 $13,916.54 $-206.48
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:25am ET $476.23 29 $13,916.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $477.37 29 $13,949.85 $13,949.85 +$33.31
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $486.00 29 $13,949.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.45 29 $13,819.25 $13,819.25 $-130.60
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET $470.95 29 $13,819.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.62 29 $14,044.31 $14,044.31 +$225.06
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET $481.85 29 $14,044.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $496.38 29 $14,467.81 $14,467.81 +$423.50
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:30am ET $528.98 27 $14,467.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $525.77 27 $14,380.02 $14,380.02 $-87.79
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $510.36 28 $14,380.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $527.98 28 $14,876.49 $14,876.49 +$496.47
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $543.39 27 $14,876.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $547.60 27 $14,991.88 $14,991.88 +$115.39
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $547.59 27 $14,991.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $547.55 27 $14,990.78 $14,990.78 $-1.10
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $533.70 28 $14,990.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $556.90 28 $15,642.58 $15,642.58 +$651.80
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET $551.28 28 $15,642.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $521.15 28 $14,787.69 $14,787.69 $-854.89
(-5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:30am ET $512.52 29 $14,787.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $514.72 29 $14,851.31 $14,851.31 +$63.62
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:35am ET $512.85 29 $14,851.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $510.77 29 $14,791.02 $14,791.02 $-60.29
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $515.12 29 $14,791.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $522.41 29 $15,000.49 $15,000.49 +$209.47
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,000.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,000.49
Total Return: +50.00%
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