Compendium › Wrecking Ball › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 15 trades in period

-16.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,743.01
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$14,018.12
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 37.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-2.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,018.12
Current Value
$11,743.01
Period P&L
$-2,275.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+3.49%
Worst Trade
-10.12%
Avg Trade Return
-1.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$391,211.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,275.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,275.11
Gross Return
-16.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,018.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $117.32 119 $14,018.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $114.56 119 $13,688.34 $13,688.34 $-329.78
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET $113.51 121 $13,688.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $111.71 121 $13,470.68 $13,470.68 $-217.66
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $110.75 122 $13,470.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $113.05 122 $13,750.44 $13,750.44 +$279.76
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $111.71 123 $13,750.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $114.81 123 $14,131.41 $14,131.41 +$380.97
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET $114.34 124 $14,131.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $114.92 124 $14,203.09 $14,203.09 +$71.68
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET $116.02 122 $14,203.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $110.37 122 $13,511.42 $13,511.42 $-691.67
(-4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET $109.37 124 $13,511.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.46 124 $13,522.54 $13,522.54 +$11.12
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET $114.26 118 $13,522.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $111.09 118 $13,147.37 $13,147.37 $-375.17
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $110.89 119 $13,147.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $112.35 119 $13,319.88 $13,319.88 +$172.51
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:30am ET $112.28 119 $13,319.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $112.68 119 $13,367.33 $13,367.33 +$47.45
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $115.38 116 $13,367.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $103.70 116 $12,014.04 $12,014.04 $-1,353.29
(-10.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET $105.20 114 $12,014.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $102.62 114 $11,719.40 $11,719.40 $-294.64
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:40am ET $107.57 109 $11,719.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.85 109 $11,532.00 $11,532.00 $-187.40
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $108.51 106 $11,532.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $106.77 106 $11,347.08 $11,347.08 $-184.92
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $106.33 107 $11,347.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $110.04 107 $11,743.01 $11,743.01 +$395.93
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,743.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,743.01
Total Return: +17.43%
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