AXP Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 38 trades in period
+10.09%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,584.89
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$15,972.85
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
68.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 68.7
30-Day Momentum
3
-2.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,972.85
Current Value
$17,584.89
Period P&L
$1,612.04
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
22 /
16
Best Trade
+4.84%
Worst Trade
-4.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,268,046.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,612.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,612.04
Gross Return
+10.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,972.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.77 | 53 | $15,972.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $300.23 | 53 | $15,997.36 | $15,997.36 |
+$24.51 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $299.13 | 53 | $15,997.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $292.37 | 53 | $15,635.84 | $15,635.84 |
$-361.52 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $298.34 | 52 | $15,635.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $301.48 | 52 | $15,800.41 | $15,800.41 |
+$164.57 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $297.31 | 53 | $15,800.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $305.75 | 53 | $16,248.95 | $16,248.95 |
+$448.54 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $317.30 | 51 | $16,248.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $317.76 | 51 | $16,272.25 | $16,272.25 |
+$23.30 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $326.20 | 50 | $16,272.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $331.76 | 50 | $16,549.38 | $16,549.38 |
+$277.13 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $333.60 | 50 | $16,549.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $332.87 | 50 | $16,513.17 | $16,513.17 |
$-36.21 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $325.17 | 51 | $16,513.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $313.91 | 51 | $15,941.35 | $15,941.35 |
$-571.82 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $318.50 | 50 | $15,941.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $315.65 | 50 | $15,798.70 | $15,798.70 |
$-142.65 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $318.85 | 50 | $15,798.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $315.99 | 50 | $15,656.99 | $15,656.99 |
$-141.71 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $318.83 | 49 | $15,656.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $316.01 | 49 | $15,518.26 | $15,518.26 |
$-138.73 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.31 | 50 | $15,518.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $312.77 | 50 | $15,641.28 | $15,641.28 |
+$123.02 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.05 | 51 | $15,641.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.79 | 51 | $15,678.73 | $15,678.73 |
+$37.45 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $310.47 | 50 | $15,678.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $312.54 | 50 | $15,783.14 | $15,783.14 |
+$104.41 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.01 | 51 | $15,783.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $311.01 | 51 | $15,783.14 | $15,783.14 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $303.23 | 52 | $15,783.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $312.56 | 52 | $16,268.77 | $16,268.77 |
+$485.63 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $317.84 | 51 | $16,268.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $313.43 | 51 | $16,043.30 | $16,043.30 |
$-225.47 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $311.08 | 52 | $16,043.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $325.43 | 52 | $16,783.37 | $16,783.37 |
+$740.07 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $339.52 | 49 | $16,783.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $338.16 | 49 | $16,716.14 | $16,716.14 |
$-67.23 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $346.50 | 48 | $16,716.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $340.20 | 48 | $16,412.21 | $16,412.21 |
$-303.93 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $338.74 | 48 | $16,412.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $347.98 | 48 | $16,859.90 | $16,859.90 |
+$447.69 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $347.50 | 49 | $16,859.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $356.14 | 49 | $17,279.09 | $17,279.09 |
+$419.19 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $351.30 | 49 | $17,279.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.35 | 49 | $16,543.52 | $16,543.52 |
$-735.57 (-4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $347.07 | 48 | $16,543.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $354.39 | 48 | $16,892.68 | $16,892.68 |
+$349.16 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $355.92 | 47 | $16,892.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $358.48 | 47 | $17,013.84 | $17,013.84 |
+$121.16 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.87 | 48 | $17,013.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $351.94 | 48 | $17,017.23 | $17,017.23 |
+$3.39 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.95 | 49 | $17,017.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $340.74 | 49 | $16,664.85 | $16,664.85 |
$-352.38 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $319.81 | 52 | $16,664.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $335.28 | 52 | $17,470.97 | $17,470.97 |
+$806.12 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $330.99 | 53 | $17,470.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $337.57 | 53 | $17,818.02 | $17,818.02 |
+$347.05 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.35 | 53 | $17,818.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $338.80 | 53 | $17,841.72 | $17,841.72 |
+$23.70 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.55 | 53 | $17,841.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $335.93 | 53 | $17,915.32 | $17,915.32 |
+$73.60 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $333.47 | 54 | $17,915.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $333.22 | 54 | $17,901.89 | $17,901.89 |
$-13.43 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.68 | 55 | $17,901.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $330.02 | 55 | $18,084.92 | $18,084.92 |
+$183.03 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $328.53 | 55 | $18,084.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $326.15 | 55 | $17,953.91 | $17,953.91 |
$-131.01 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.50 | 56 | $17,953.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $320.76 | 56 | $17,857.04 | $17,857.04 |
$-96.87 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.28 | 57 | $17,857.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $311.50 | 57 | $17,642.95 | $17,642.95 |
$-214.09 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $310.36 | 57 | $17,642.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $306.86 | 57 | $17,443.99 | $17,443.99 |
$-198.96 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $302.70 | 58 | $17,443.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $305.14 | 58 | $17,584.89 | $17,584.89 |
+$140.90 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,584.89
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,584.89
Total Return:
+75.85%