Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 57.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 56.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,621.11
Current Value
$14,316.99
Period P&L
$695.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
9 / 12
Best Trade
+6.84%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$593,282.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$695.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$695.88
Gross Return
+5.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,621.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:35am ET $499.18 27 $13,621.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.00 27 $13,479.83 $13,479.83 $-141.28
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $492.49 27 $13,479.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.28 27 $13,638.17 $13,638.17 +$158.34
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $500.61 27 $13,638.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $513.14 27 $13,979.67 $13,979.67 +$341.50
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $514.02 27 $13,979.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $504.16 27 $13,711.51 $13,711.51 $-268.16
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $504.56 27 $13,711.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $497.05 27 $13,507.42 $13,507.42 $-204.09
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:25am ET $493.31 27 $13,507.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $497.97 27 $13,635.02 $13,635.02 +$127.60
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $493.04 28 $13,635.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $505.86 28 $13,989.70 $13,989.70 +$354.68
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $501.70 28 $13,989.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.53 28 $13,901.44 $13,901.44 $-88.26
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $489.71 28 $13,901.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.85 28 $13,678.32 $13,678.32 $-223.12
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET $486.92 28 $13,678.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.39 28 $13,663.43 $13,663.43 $-14.89
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $489.43 28 $13,663.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.62 28 $13,808.32 $13,808.32 +$144.89
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $527.38 26 $13,808.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $523.16 26 $13,697.83 $13,697.83 $-110.49
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $531.90 26 $13,697.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $547.50 26 $14,099.57 $14,099.57 +$401.74
(+2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $526.73 27 $14,099.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $562.76 27 $15,064.03 $15,064.03 +$964.46
(+6.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:30am ET $569.02 26 $15,064.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $571.00 26 $15,116.45 $15,116.45 +$52.42
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET $568.91 27 $15,116.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $559.81 27 $14,874.78 $14,874.78 $-241.67
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:00am ET $564.11 26 $14,874.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $574.09 26 $15,137.94 $15,137.94 +$263.16
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $591.50 26 $15,137.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $581.19 26 $14,874.08 $14,874.08 $-263.86
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:30am ET $585.57 25 $14,874.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $567.63 25 $14,418.39 $14,418.39 $-455.69
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $566.60 25 $14,418.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $565.74 25 $14,396.51 $14,396.51 $-21.88
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $561.09 26 $14,396.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $557.99 26 $14,316.99 $14,316.99 $-79.52
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,316.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,316.99
Total Return: +43.17%
Back to Wrecking Ball