Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 00:01:45

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,908
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,225.27
Current Value
$11,123.40
Period P&L
$-1,101.87
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+5.14%
Worst Trade
-6.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$361,456.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,101.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,101.87
Gross Return
-9.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,225.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:50am ET $97.10 126 $12,225.27
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.54 126 $12,154.76 $12,154.76 $-70.51
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET $97.56 125 $12,154.76
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $98.73 125 $12,301.16 $12,301.16 +$146.40
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $95.98 128 $12,301.16
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $100.91 128 $12,933.68 $12,933.68 +$632.52
(+5.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET $101.33 128 $12,933.68
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.64 128 $12,972.61 $12,972.61 +$38.93
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $100.16 130 $12,972.61
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $99.46 130 $12,881.95 $12,881.95 $-90.66
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $95.91 134 $12,881.95
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $97.01 134 $13,029.69 $13,029.69 +$147.74
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $96.69 135 $13,029.69
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $90.81 135 $12,237.32 $12,237.32 $-792.37
(-6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $89.89 136 $12,237.32
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.77 136 $11,948.71 $11,948.71 $-288.61
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $86.75 138 $11,948.71
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.15 138 $11,865.38 $11,865.38 $-83.33
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $86.89 137 $11,865.38
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $85.25 137 $11,640.75 $11,640.75 $-224.63
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $80.19 145 $11,640.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.47 145 $11,391.14 $11,391.14 $-249.61
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $77.45 147 $11,391.14
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $75.96 147 $11,172.00 $11,172.00 $-219.14
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $75.50 148 $11,172.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.25 148 $11,430.95 $11,430.95 +$258.95
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.42 150 $11,430.95
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $74.16 150 $11,093.62 $11,093.62 $-337.33
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $80.10 138 $11,093.62
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.32 138 $11,123.40 $11,123.40 +$29.78
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,123.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,123.40
Total Return: +11.23%
Back to Wrecking Ball