MS Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 49 trades in period
+12.65%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,255.36
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$12,654.19
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
58
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
31.0/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
58.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 57.9
30-Day Momentum
25
+1.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.2
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,654.19
Current Value
$14,255.36
Period P&L
$1,601.17
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
25 /
24
Best Trade
+4.39%
Worst Trade
-5.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,355,429.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,601.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,601.17
Gross Return
+12.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,654.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $165.87 | 78 | $12,905.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.87 | 78 | $12,906.29 | $12,906.29 |
+$0.39 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $166.77 | 77 | $12,906.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $163.22 | 77 | $12,631.18 | $12,631.18 |
$-275.11 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $159.27 | 79 | $12,631.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $158.34 | 79 | $12,557.42 | $12,557.42 |
$-73.76 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $160.19 | 78 | $12,557.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $166.22 | 78 | $13,030.12 | $13,030.12 |
+$472.70 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $164.09 | 79 | $13,030.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $166.52 | 79 | $13,223.08 | $13,223.08 |
+$192.96 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $176.23 | 75 | $13,223.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $178.16 | 75 | $13,367.89 | $13,367.89 |
+$144.81 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.70 | 76 | $13,367.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $183.41 | 76 | $13,954.50 | $13,954.50 |
+$586.61 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $191.48 | 73 | $13,954.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.26 | 73 | $13,647.31 | $13,647.31 |
$-307.19 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $189.39 | 72 | $13,647.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.31 | 72 | $13,641.55 | $13,641.55 |
$-5.76 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $188.85 | 72 | $13,641.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.05 | 72 | $13,583.76 | $13,583.76 |
$-57.79 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $189.18 | 72 | $13,583.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.10 | 72 | $13,434.76 | $13,434.76 |
$-149.00 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $189.09 | 71 | $13,434.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.24 | 71 | $13,445.77 | $13,445.77 |
+$11.01 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $191.82 | 70 | $13,445.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.07 | 70 | $13,533.39 | $13,533.39 |
+$87.62 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.83 | 72 | $13,533.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.87 | 72 | $13,968.58 | $13,968.58 |
+$435.19 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $193.55 | 72 | $13,968.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $192.53 | 72 | $13,894.61 | $13,894.61 |
$-73.97 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $192.57 | 72 | $13,894.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.58 | 72 | $13,678.87 | $13,678.87 |
$-215.74 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $197.91 | 69 | $13,678.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $201.05 | 69 | $13,895.55 | $13,895.55 |
+$216.68 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $200.40 | 69 | $13,895.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $201.63 | 69 | $13,980.49 | $13,980.49 |
+$84.94 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $208.86 | 67 | $13,980.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $215.01 | 67 | $14,392.15 | $14,392.15 |
+$411.66 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $210.15 | 68 | $14,392.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $218.22 | 68 | $14,944.83 | $14,944.83 |
+$552.68 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $214.79 | 70 | $14,944.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $212.21 | 70 | $14,765.32 | $14,765.32 |
$-179.51 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $211.21 | 70 | $14,765.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $206.69 | 70 | $14,449.33 | $14,449.33 |
$-315.99 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $213.47 | 68 | $14,449.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $218.07 | 68 | $14,760.69 | $14,760.69 |
+$311.36 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $224.15 | 66 | $14,760.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $223.20 | 66 | $14,698.13 | $14,698.13 |
$-62.56 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.63 | 66 | $14,698.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $220.05 | 66 | $14,463.49 | $14,463.49 |
$-234.64 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $224.63 | 64 | $14,463.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $212.05 | 64 | $13,653.18 | $13,653.18 |
$-810.31 (-5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.13 | 65 | $13,653.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.89 | 65 | $13,833.70 | $13,833.70 |
+$180.52 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $220.45 | 63 | $13,833.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $218.11 | 63 | $13,687.17 | $13,687.17 |
$-146.53 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $221.26 | 62 | $13,687.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $221.14 | 62 | $13,679.75 | $13,679.75 |
$-7.42 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $229.44 | 60 | $13,679.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $228.51 | 60 | $13,624.30 | $13,624.30 |
$-55.45 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $221.67 | 61 | $13,624.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $215.42 | 61 | $13,240.16 | $13,240.16 |
$-384.14 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $213.26 | 62 | $13,240.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $216.40 | 62 | $13,434.79 | $13,434.79 |
+$194.63 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $216.10 | 62 | $13,434.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $214.44 | 62 | $13,331.59 | $13,331.59 |
$-103.20 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $214.31 | 62 | $13,331.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.66 | 62 | $13,166.74 | $13,166.74 |
$-164.85 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $205.73 | 64 | $13,166.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $210.13 | 64 | $13,448.34 | $13,448.34 |
+$281.60 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $208.65 | 64 | $13,448.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $217.04 | 64 | $13,989.11 | $13,989.11 |
+$540.77 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $216.22 | 65 | $13,989.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $216.27 | 65 | $13,992.35 | $13,992.35 |
+$3.24 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $213.56 | 66 | $13,992.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $217.69 | 66 | $14,262.95 | $14,262.95 |
+$270.60 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $219.32 | 65 | $14,262.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $217.35 | 65 | $14,134.84 | $14,134.84 |
$-128.11 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.17 | 65 | $14,134.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $214.29 | 65 | $13,947.39 | $13,947.39 |
$-187.45 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $210.70 | 66 | $13,947.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $214.21 | 66 | $14,179.34 | $14,179.34 |
+$231.95 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $213.86 | 66 | $14,179.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $214.84 | 66 | $14,244.32 | $14,244.32 |
+$64.98 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.63 | 68 | $14,244.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.82 | 68 | $14,324.80 | $14,324.80 |
+$80.48 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $215.45 | 66 | $14,324.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $216.31 | 66 | $14,381.98 | $14,381.98 |
+$57.18 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $212.34 | 68 | $14,381.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $206.60 | 68 | $13,993.21 | $13,993.21 |
$-388.77 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $202.52 | 69 | $13,993.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $202.46 | 69 | $13,988.72 | $13,988.72 |
$-4.49 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.29 | 69 | $13,988.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $206.13 | 69 | $14,325.08 | $14,325.08 |
+$336.36 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $199.27 | 72 | $14,325.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $200.60 | 72 | $14,421.05 | $14,421.05 |
+$95.97 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $198.88 | 73 | $14,421.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $196.59 | 73 | $14,255.36 | $14,255.36 |
$-165.69 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,255.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,255.36
Total Return:
+42.55%