MCD Wrecking Ball's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 49 trades executed
+18.73%
2 Years Return
$12,025.61
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,128.42
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
39.8/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 34.5
30-Day Momentum
0
-2.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,614
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,128.42
Current Value
$12,025.61
Total P&L
$1,897.19
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
43
Winners / Losers
25 /
18
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,037,280.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,897.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,897.19
Gross Return
+18.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $10,128.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $295.19 | 34 | $10,128.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2024 3:55pm ET | $297.04 | 34 | $10,191.90 | $10,191.90 |
+$63.48 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 10:05am ET | $292.26 | 35 | $10,191.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2024 3:55pm ET | $292.97 | 35 | $10,216.75 | $10,216.75 |
+$24.85 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 10:30am ET | $294.48 | 35 | $10,216.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $301.71 | 35 | $10,467.59 | $10,467.59 |
+$250.84 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 9:35am ET | $284.50 | 37 | $10,467.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 3:55pm ET | $296.32 | 37 | $10,902.48 | $10,902.48 |
+$434.89 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:35am ET | $292.01 | 37 | $10,902.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $299.55 | 37 | $11,183.99 | $11,183.99 |
+$281.51 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 9:45am ET | $295.94 | 38 | $11,183.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $296.62 | 38 | $11,209.50 | $11,209.50 |
+$25.51 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $277.28 | 40 | $11,209.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $281.29 | 40 | $11,371.82 | $11,371.82 |
+$162.32 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $299.87 | 38 | $11,371.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $307.66 | 38 | $11,667.43 | $11,667.43 |
+$295.61 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 10:25am ET | $304.68 | 38 | $11,667.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $307.39 | 38 | $11,771.21 | $11,771.21 |
+$103.78 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $311.98 | 38 | $11,771.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $299.77 | 38 | $11,310.52 | $11,310.52 |
$-460.69 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $302.42 | 37 | $11,310.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $313.48 | 37 | $11,724.36 | $11,724.36 |
+$413.84 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $307.51 | 38 | $11,724.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $311.44 | 38 | $11,874.20 | $11,874.20 |
+$149.84 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $311.72 | 38 | $11,874.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $303.83 | 38 | $11,573.65 | $11,573.65 |
$-300.55 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 12:20pm ET | $298.05 | 39 | $11,573.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $312.44 | 39 | $12,132.43 | $12,132.43 |
+$558.78 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $315.34 | 38 | $12,132.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $319.62 | 38 | $12,297.10 | $12,297.10 |
+$164.67 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $307.43 | 40 | $12,297.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $314.52 | 40 | $12,580.70 | $12,580.70 |
+$283.60 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $310.34 | 41 | $12,580.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.97 | 41 | $12,525.16 | $12,525.16 |
$-55.54 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $301.14 | 42 | $12,525.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $303.07 | 42 | $12,605.27 | $12,605.27 |
+$80.11 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $293.41 | 43 | $12,605.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $291.79 | 43 | $12,535.67 | $12,535.67 |
$-69.60 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $295.60 | 42 | $12,535.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $300.43 | 42 | $12,740.50 | $12,740.50 |
+$204.83 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $300.21 | 42 | $12,740.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.85 | 42 | $13,107.17 | $13,107.17 |
+$366.67 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $306.59 | 43 | $13,107.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $302.05 | 43 | $12,913.08 | $12,913.08 |
$-194.09 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $300.68 | 43 | $12,913.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $302.94 | 43 | $13,010.14 | $13,010.14 |
+$97.06 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $295.79 | 44 | $13,010.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $293.85 | 44 | $12,924.81 | $12,924.81 |
$-85.33 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $303.03 | 43 | $12,924.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $296.45 | 43 | $12,644.16 | $12,644.16 |
$-280.65 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $303.05 | 42 | $12,644.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $306.83 | 42 | $12,801.66 | $12,801.66 |
+$157.50 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $305.18 | 42 | $12,801.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $302.73 | 42 | $12,698.89 | $12,698.89 |
$-102.77 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $306.17 | 41 | $12,698.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.50 | 41 | $12,795.53 | $12,795.53 |
+$96.64 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $301.20 | 42 | $12,795.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $304.12 | 42 | $12,919.79 | $12,919.79 |
+$124.26 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.42 | 39 | $12,919.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $327.98 | 39 | $12,824.38 | $12,824.38 |
$-95.41 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $322.10 | 40 | $12,824.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $308.50 | 40 | $12,282.90 | $12,282.90 |
$-541.48 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $305.69 | 40 | $12,282.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $304.89 | 40 | $12,250.76 | $12,250.76 |
$-32.14 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $296.05 | 41 | $12,250.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $293.60 | 41 | $12,149.17 | $12,149.17 |
$-101.59 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $279.97 | 43 | $12,149.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $275.60 | 43 | $11,959.64 | $11,959.64 |
$-189.53 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $276.62 | 43 | $11,959.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $279.33 | 43 | $12,076.81 | $12,076.81 |
+$117.17 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $273.85 | 44 | $12,076.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $264.68 | 44 | $11,672.63 | $11,672.63 |
$-404.18 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $266.38 | 44 | $11,672.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $280.32 | 44 | $12,283.25 | $12,283.25 |
+$610.62 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $274.69 | 45 | $12,283.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $276.48 | 45 | $12,363.29 | $12,363.29 |
+$80.04 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $272.56 | 45 | $12,363.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $270.67 | 45 | $12,277.56 | $12,277.56 |
$-85.73 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.75 | 46 | $12,277.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $269.16 | 46 | $12,342.22 | $12,342.22 |
+$64.66 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $262.79 | 47 | $12,342.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $261.24 | 47 | $12,269.42 | $12,269.42 |
$-72.80 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $256.79 | 48 | $12,269.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $253.53 | 48 | $12,113.66 | $12,113.66 |
$-155.76 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $249.70 | 49 | $12,113.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $247.88 | 49 | $12,025.61 | $12,025.61 |
$-88.05 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,025.61
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,025.61
Total Return:
+20.26%