AVGO Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
-9.41%
Year to Date Return
$33,833.76
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$37,347.99
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
68
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
68.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 67.9
30-Day Momentum
14
+3.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.2
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-54 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,092
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$37,347.99
Current Value
$33,833.76
Period P&L
$-3,514.23
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
14 /
23
Best Trade
+14.74%
Worst Trade
-19.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,863,385.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,514.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,514.23
Gross Return
-9.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $37,347.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $348.81 | 108 | $37,643.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $347.59 | 108 | $37,512.03 | $37,512.03 |
$-131.66 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $344.33 | 109 | $37,512.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $344.97 | 109 | $37,581.75 | $37,581.75 |
+$69.72 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.65 | 107 | $37,581.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $332.60 | 107 | $35,749.15 | $35,749.15 |
$-1,832.60 (-4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $328.01 | 109 | $35,749.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $324.86 | 109 | $35,405.84 | $35,405.84 |
$-343.31 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $330.55 | 107 | $35,405.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $331.11 | 107 | $35,466.36 | $35,466.36 |
+$60.52 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $312.74 | 113 | $35,466.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $343.77 | 113 | $38,985.85 | $38,985.85 |
+$3,519.49 (+9.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $335.58 | 116 | $38,985.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $332.62 | 116 | $38,642.32 | $38,642.32 |
$-343.53 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $331.48 | 117 | $38,642.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $330.39 | 117 | $38,515.25 | $38,515.25 |
$-127.07 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $323.37 | 119 | $38,515.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $319.62 | 119 | $38,068.60 | $38,068.60 |
$-446.65 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.07 | 123 | $38,068.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $330.42 | 123 | $40,567.04 | $40,567.04 |
+$2,498.44 (+6.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $341.34 | 119 | $40,567.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $335.91 | 119 | $39,921.70 | $39,921.70 |
$-645.34 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $322.04 | 124 | $39,921.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $310.77 | 124 | $38,524.61 | $38,524.61 |
$-1,397.09 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $319.38 | 121 | $38,524.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $300.78 | 121 | $36,281.02 | $36,281.02 |
$-2,243.59 (-5.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.60 | 119 | $36,281.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $350.64 | 119 | $41,628.20 | $41,628.20 |
+$5,347.18 (+14.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $371.28 | 112 | $41,628.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $396.61 | 112 | $44,468.22 | $44,468.22 |
+$2,840.02 (+6.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $400.10 | 111 | $44,468.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $419.98 | 111 | $46,677.53 | $46,677.53 |
+$2,209.31 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $417.82 | 112 | $46,677.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $417.44 | 112 | $46,635.08 | $46,635.08 |
$-42.45 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.33 | 111 | $46,635.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $412.59 | 111 | $45,995.74 | $45,995.74 |
$-639.34 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $425.80 | 108 | $45,995.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $439.46 | 108 | $47,471.32 | $47,471.32 |
+$1,475.58 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.63 | 113 | $47,471.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $414.53 | 113 | $46,782.89 | $46,782.89 |
$-688.43 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $426.44 | 110 | $46,782.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $447.21 | 110 | $49,061.47 | $49,061.47 |
+$2,278.58 (+4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $480.26 | 102 | $49,061.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $385.73 | 102 | $39,404.66 | $39,404.66 |
$-9,656.81 (-19.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $392.33 | 100 | $39,404.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $381.86 | 100 | $38,353.08 | $38,353.08 |
$-1,051.58 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $388.40 | 99 | $38,353.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $392.04 | 99 | $38,712.52 | $38,712.52 |
+$359.44 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $381.77 | 101 | $38,712.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $372.44 | 101 | $37,766.42 | $37,766.42 |
$-946.10 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.91 | 102 | $37,766.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $370.79 | 102 | $37,754.20 | $37,754.20 |
$-12.22 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 1:45pm ET | $389.45 | 97 | $37,754.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $384.03 | 97 | $37,228.77 | $37,228.77 |
$-525.43 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $389.14 | 96 | $37,228.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $370.84 | 96 | $35,478.02 | $35,478.02 |
$-1,750.75 (-4.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $393.76 | 90 | $35,478.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $380.76 | 90 | $34,307.15 | $34,307.15 |
$-1,170.87 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $376.35 | 91 | $34,307.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $392.37 | 91 | $35,767.49 | $35,767.49 |
+$1,460.34 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $420.74 | 85 | $35,767.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $422.25 | 85 | $35,895.52 | $35,895.52 |
+$128.03 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $413.45 | 87 | $35,895.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $393.05 | 87 | $34,124.40 | $34,124.40 |
$-1,771.12 (-4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $383.95 | 89 | $34,124.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $368.45 | 89 | $32,747.23 | $32,747.23 |
$-1,377.17 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $357.59 | 92 | $32,747.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $368.68 | 92 | $33,762.83 | $33,762.83 |
+$1,015.60 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.37 | 93 | $33,762.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $357.87 | 93 | $33,251.79 | $33,251.79 |
$-511.04 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.48 | 91 | $33,251.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $344.82 | 91 | $31,458.19 | $31,458.19 |
$-1,793.60 (-5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $337.08 | 93 | $31,458.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $362.54 | 93 | $33,833.76 | $33,833.76 |
+$2,375.57 (+7.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$33,833.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$23,833.76
Total Return:
+238.34%