CRWD Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 51 trades in period
-80.17%
Year to Date Return
$5,752.01
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$29,013.04
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
12.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 12.4
30-Day Momentum
72
+23.5%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
4.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 88.6
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$29,013.04
Current Value
$5,752.01
Period P&L
$-23,261.03
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
20 /
31
Best Trade
+8.55%
Worst Trade
-74.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.92%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,679,260.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-23,261.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-23,261.03
Gross Return
-80.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-80.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $29,013.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $462.35 | 63 | $29,013.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $456.58 | 63 | $28,651.11 | $28,651.11 |
$-361.93 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $473.18 | 61 | $28,651.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $470.61 | 61 | $28,495.50 | $28,495.50 |
$-155.61 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $463.06 | 62 | $28,495.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $460.61 | 62 | $28,344.73 | $28,344.73 |
$-150.77 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $458.49 | 62 | $28,344.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.96 | 62 | $28,064.98 | $28,064.98 |
$-279.75 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $446.34 | 63 | $28,064.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $453.88 | 63 | $28,539.08 | $28,539.08 |
+$474.10 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $474.75 | 60 | $28,539.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $444.65 | 60 | $26,729.93 | $26,729.93 |
$-1,809.15 (-6.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $430.86 | 62 | $26,729.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $415.39 | 62 | $25,770.20 | $25,770.20 |
$-959.73 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $401.96 | 64 | $25,770.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $395.39 | 64 | $25,348.99 | $25,348.99 |
$-421.21 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $403.00 | 63 | $25,348.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $415.80 | 63 | $26,154.12 | $26,154.12 |
+$805.13 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $421.46 | 62 | $26,154.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $414.40 | 62 | $25,716.00 | $25,716.00 |
$-438.12 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $413.28 | 62 | $25,716.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $350.27 | 62 | $21,795.26 | $21,795.26 |
$-3,920.74 (-15.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $377.34 | 58 | $21,795.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $371.97 | 58 | $21,485.08 | $21,485.08 |
$-310.18 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $377.55 | 57 | $21,485.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $407.59 | 57 | $23,194.25 | $23,194.25 |
+$1,709.17 (+8.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $428.83 | 54 | $23,194.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $436.20 | 54 | $23,592.60 | $23,592.60 |
+$398.35 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $442.00 | 53 | $23,592.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $423.78 | 53 | $22,620.07 | $22,620.07 |
$-972.53 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $433.48 | 52 | $22,620.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $428.15 | 52 | $22,341.94 | $22,341.94 |
$-278.13 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.58 | 55 | $22,341.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $385.86 | 55 | $21,203.36 | $21,203.36 |
$-1,138.58 (-5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.89 | 57 | $21,203.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.92 | 57 | $21,778.09 | $21,778.09 |
+$574.73 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $436.39 | 50 | $21,778.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $394.68 | 50 | $19,696.55 | $19,696.55 |
$-2,081.54 (-9.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $401.96 | 49 | $19,696.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $411.15 | 49 | $20,146.87 | $20,146.87 |
+$450.32 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.74 | 45 | $20,146.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $448.08 | 45 | $20,117.46 | $20,117.46 |
$-29.41 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $452.34 | 44 | $20,117.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $452.39 | 44 | $20,119.68 | $20,119.68 |
+$2.22 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.85 | 43 | $20,119.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $505.70 | 43 | $21,840.77 | $21,840.77 |
+$1,721.09 (+8.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $557.31 | 39 | $21,840.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $594.33 | 39 | $23,291.57 | $23,291.57 |
+$1,450.80 (+6.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $622.07 | 37 | $23,291.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $650.39 | 37 | $24,351.92 | $24,351.92 |
+$1,060.35 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $650.56 | 37 | $24,351.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $645.20 | 37 | $24,151.28 | $24,151.28 |
$-200.64 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $769.07 | 31 | $24,151.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $747.36 | 31 | $23,469.52 | $23,469.52 |
$-681.76 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $685.44 | 34 | $23,469.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $658.65 | 34 | $22,552.39 | $22,552.39 |
$-917.13 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $681.36 | 33 | $22,552.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $692.99 | 33 | $22,937.33 | $22,937.33 |
+$384.94 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $679.48 | 34 | $22,937.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $685.60 | 34 | $23,143.75 | $23,143.75 |
+$206.42 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $679.93 | 34 | $23,143.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $175.11 | 34 | $5,960.55 | $5,960.55 |
$-17,183.20 (-74.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $193.19 | 31 | $5,960.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.67 | 31 | $5,975.32 | $5,975.32 |
+$14.77 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $198.46 | 30 | $5,975.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $194.40 | 30 | $5,853.23 | $5,853.23 |
$-122.09 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $194.00 | 30 | $5,853.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.87 | 30 | $5,668.28 | $5,668.28 |
$-184.95 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $209.37 | 27 | $5,668.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $203.77 | 27 | $5,516.67 | $5,516.67 |
$-151.61 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $204.66 | 27 | $5,516.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $198.42 | 27 | $5,348.34 | $5,348.34 |
$-168.33 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.83 | 29 | $5,348.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $183.43 | 29 | $5,251.01 | $5,251.01 |
$-97.33 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $182.15 | 29 | $5,251.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.87 | 29 | $5,242.79 | $5,242.79 |
$-8.22 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $179.42 | 29 | $5,242.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $185.22 | 29 | $5,412.27 | $5,412.27 |
+$169.48 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $213.18 | 25 | $5,412.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $207.45 | 25 | $5,266.92 | $5,266.92 |
$-145.35 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.87 | 24 | $5,266.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $221.81 | 24 | $5,289.34 | $5,289.34 |
+$22.42 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $221.49 | 24 | $5,289.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $213.91 | 24 | $5,108.23 | $5,108.23 |
$-181.11 (-3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.65 | 24 | $5,108.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $190.30 | 24 | $4,659.09 | $4,659.09 |
$-449.14 (-8.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $189.54 | 25 | $4,659.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $185.33 | 25 | $4,555.60 | $4,555.60 |
$-103.49 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.86 | 21 | $4,555.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $231.04 | 21 | $4,809.13 | $4,809.13 |
+$253.53 (+5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.88 | 23 | $4,809.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $214.97 | 23 | $4,997.27 | $4,997.27 |
+$188.14 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.11 | 24 | $4,997.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $207.79 | 24 | $4,965.72 | $4,965.72 |
$-31.55 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $210.60 | 24 | $4,965.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $206.67 | 24 | $4,873.11 | $4,873.11 |
$-92.61 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.04 | 21 | $4,873.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $241.41 | 21 | $5,048.14 | $5,048.14 |
+$175.03 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.66 | 21 | $5,048.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $249.27 | 21 | $5,185.65 | $5,185.65 |
+$137.51 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.85 | 29 | $6,802.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $250.07 | 29 | $7,368.90 | $5,752.01 |
+$566.36 (+8.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,752.01
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,247.99
Total Return:
-42.48%