Compendium › Wrecking Ball › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+13.56%
Year to Date Return
$14,735.00
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,975.54
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.2/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 65.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 63.2

30-Day Momentum

9
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-54 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,027
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,975.54
Current Value
$14,735.00
Period P&L
$1,759.46
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
16 / 8
Best Trade
+4.66%
Worst Trade
-2.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$676,785.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,759.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,759.46
Gross Return
+13.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,975.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $262.23 49 $12,975.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.82 49 $13,103.70 $13,103.70 +$128.16
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $261.06 50 $13,103.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.82 50 $13,192.29 $13,192.29 +$88.59
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $259.52 51 $13,192.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.86 51 $13,565.41 $13,565.41 +$373.12
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $263.17 52 $13,565.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $263.04 52 $13,558.45 $13,558.45 $-6.96
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $260.73 52 $13,558.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $265.94 52 $13,829.38 $13,829.38 +$270.93
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $256.02 54 $13,829.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.89 54 $13,552.27 $13,552.27 $-277.11
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $253.80 53 $13,552.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $246.55 53 $13,165.14 $13,165.14 $-387.13
(-2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET $247.41 53 $13,165.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.44 53 $13,166.74 $13,166.74 +$1.60
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $245.13 54 $13,166.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.54 54 $13,403.89 $13,403.89 +$237.15
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $249.86 54 $13,403.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $261.30 54 $14,017.59 $14,017.59 +$613.70
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $276.38 51 $14,017.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.64 51 $14,031.03 $14,031.03 +$13.44
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET $274.33 51 $14,031.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $279.31 51 $14,285.74 $14,285.74 +$254.71
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $276.65 52 $14,285.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $282.29 52 $14,576.98 $14,576.98 +$291.24
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $282.29 52 $14,576.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $277.62 52 $14,335.83 $14,335.83 $-241.15
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $272.42 53 $14,335.83 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $285.11 53 $15,003.63 $15,003.63 +$667.80
(+4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $289.04 52 $15,003.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $287.68 52 $14,933.03 $14,933.03 $-70.60
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $289.07 52 $14,933.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $282.01 52 $14,568.32 $14,568.32 $-364.71
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET $293.30 50 $14,568.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.18 50 $14,810.51 $14,810.51 +$242.19
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $298.36 50 $14,810.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.47 50 $14,567.53 $14,567.53 $-242.98
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $292.07 50 $14,567.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.76 50 $14,651.82 $14,651.82 +$84.29
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $291.82 50 $14,651.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $292.52 50 $14,686.96 $14,686.96 +$35.14
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $298.52 49 $14,686.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $299.25 49 $14,722.63 $14,722.63 +$35.67
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $293.45 50 $14,722.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $295.16 50 $14,808.67 $14,808.67 +$86.04
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $285.44 52 $14,808.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $284.02 52 $14,735.00 $14,735.00 $-73.67
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,735.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,735.00
Total Return: +47.35%
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