MA Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 31 trades in period
+3.24%
Year to Date Return
$14,316.99
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$13,867.14
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
56
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
30.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
57.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 56.5
30-Day Momentum
1
-5.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,905
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,867.14
Current Value
$14,316.99
Period P&L
$449.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
12 /
19
Best Trade
+6.84%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$872,166.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$449.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$449.85
Gross Return
+3.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,867.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $561.67 | 25 | $13,867.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $580.08 | 25 | $14,321.67 | $14,321.67 |
+$454.53 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $556.93 | 26 | $14,321.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $542.76 | 26 | $13,957.29 | $13,957.29 |
$-364.38 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $532.15 | 26 | $13,957.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $524.76 | 26 | $13,763.46 | $13,763.46 |
$-193.83 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $535.81 | 26 | $13,763.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $553.51 | 26 | $14,218.12 | $14,218.12 |
+$454.66 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $547.09 | 26 | $14,218.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $537.43 | 26 | $13,967.07 | $13,967.07 |
$-251.05 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:45am ET | $531.66 | 26 | $13,967.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $527.95 | 26 | $13,869.61 | $13,869.61 |
$-97.46 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $518.76 | 27 | $13,869.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $514.78 | 27 | $13,763.33 | $13,763.33 |
$-106.28 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $510.14 | 27 | $13,763.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $524.36 | 27 | $14,146.98 | $14,146.98 |
+$383.65 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $513.71 | 28 | $14,146.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $497.11 | 28 | $13,689.97 | $13,689.97 |
$-457.01 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.97 | 27 | $13,689.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $500.44 | 27 | $13,621.11 | $13,621.11 |
$-68.86 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $499.18 | 27 | $13,621.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $494.00 | 27 | $13,479.83 | $13,479.83 |
$-141.28 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $492.49 | 27 | $13,479.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $498.28 | 27 | $13,638.17 | $13,638.17 |
+$158.34 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.61 | 27 | $13,638.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $513.14 | 27 | $13,979.67 | $13,979.67 |
+$341.50 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $514.02 | 27 | $13,979.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $504.16 | 27 | $13,711.51 | $13,711.51 |
$-268.16 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $504.56 | 27 | $13,711.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $497.05 | 27 | $13,507.42 | $13,507.42 |
$-204.09 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $493.31 | 27 | $13,507.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $497.97 | 27 | $13,635.02 | $13,635.02 |
+$127.60 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.04 | 28 | $13,635.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $505.86 | 28 | $13,989.70 | $13,989.70 |
+$354.68 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:45pm ET | $501.70 | 28 | $13,989.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $498.53 | 28 | $13,901.44 | $13,901.44 |
$-88.26 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $489.71 | 28 | $13,901.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $481.85 | 28 | $13,678.32 | $13,678.32 |
$-223.12 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $486.92 | 28 | $13,678.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $486.39 | 28 | $13,663.43 | $13,663.43 |
$-14.89 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $489.43 | 28 | $13,663.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $494.62 | 28 | $13,808.32 | $13,808.32 |
+$144.89 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $527.38 | 26 | $13,808.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $523.16 | 26 | $13,697.83 | $13,697.83 |
$-110.49 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $531.90 | 26 | $13,697.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $547.50 | 26 | $14,099.57 | $14,099.57 |
+$401.74 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.73 | 27 | $14,099.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $562.76 | 27 | $15,064.03 | $15,064.03 |
+$964.46 (+6.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $569.02 | 26 | $15,064.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $571.00 | 26 | $15,116.45 | $15,116.45 |
+$52.42 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $568.91 | 27 | $15,116.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $559.81 | 27 | $14,874.78 | $14,874.78 |
$-241.67 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $564.11 | 26 | $14,874.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $574.09 | 26 | $15,137.94 | $15,137.94 |
+$263.16 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $591.50 | 26 | $15,137.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $581.19 | 26 | $14,874.08 | $14,874.08 |
$-263.86 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $585.57 | 25 | $14,874.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $567.63 | 25 | $14,418.39 | $14,418.39 |
$-455.69 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $566.60 | 25 | $14,418.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $565.74 | 25 | $14,396.51 | $14,396.51 |
$-21.88 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $561.09 | 26 | $14,396.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $557.99 | 26 | $14,316.99 | $14,316.99 |
$-79.52 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,316.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,316.99
Total Return:
+43.17%