Compendium › Wrecking Ball › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 21 trades in period

+70.85%
Year to Date Return
$204,798.06
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$119,872.73
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

80
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
25.0/25
Win Rate
9.7/15
Profit Factor
11.4/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 88.6/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 79.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,083
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$119,872.73
Current Value
$204,798.06
Period P&L
$84,925.33
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
12 / 9
Best Trade
+33.64%
Worst Trade
-12.89%
Avg Trade Return
+3.04%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$6,204,504.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$84,925.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$84,925.33
Gross Return
+70.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+70.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $119,872.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET $173.23 692 $119,872.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.89 692 $114,796.87 $114,796.87 $-5,075.86
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $152.54 753 $114,796.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $157.87 753 $118,807.98 $118,807.98 +$4,011.11
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $132.89 894 $118,807.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.49 894 $124,708.60 $124,708.60 +$5,900.62
(+5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $129.14 966 $124,708.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.36 966 $130,715.27 $130,715.27 +$6,006.67
(+4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $129.53 1,009 $130,715.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.94 1,009 $137,183.93 $137,183.93 +$6,468.66
(+4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $139.03 987 $137,183.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $157.17 987 $155,083.06 $155,083.06 +$17,899.13
(+13.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $151.59 1,023 $155,083.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $150.95 1,023 $154,428.31 $154,428.31 $-654.75
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $154.82 997 $154,428.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.08 997 $142,718.01 $142,718.01 $-11,710.30
(-7.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $141.09 1,012 $142,718.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $140.80 1,012 $142,429.71 $142,429.71 $-288.30
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $124.09 1,148 $142,429.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $142.15 1,148 $163,158.72 $163,158.72 +$20,729.01
(+14.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $146.71 1,112 $163,158.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $141.17 1,112 $157,002.94 $157,002.94 $-6,155.78
(-3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $141.36 1,111 $157,002.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.80 1,111 $153,049.11 $153,049.11 $-3,953.83
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:25am ET $130.04 1,177 $153,049.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.12 1,177 $159,027.96 $159,027.96 +$5,978.85
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $155.60 1,022 $159,027.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.55 1,022 $138,536.24 $138,536.24 $-20,491.72
(-12.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $128.30 1,080 $138,536.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $113.45 1,080 $122,496.68 $122,496.68 $-16,039.56
(-11.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $128.60 953 $122,496.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $130.05 953 $123,877.86 $123,877.86 +$1,381.18
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $127.81 969 $123,877.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.54 969 $127,497.95 $127,497.95 +$3,620.09
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $121.69 1,048 $127,497.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $162.63 1,048 $170,391.91 $170,391.91 +$42,893.96
(+33.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $153.49 1,110 $170,391.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.93 1,110 $194,192.81 $194,192.81 +$23,800.90
(+14.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $172.06 1,129 $194,192.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.90 1,129 $209,813.10 $209,813.10 +$15,620.29
(+8.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.46 1,203 $209,813.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $170.29 1,203 $204,798.06 $204,798.06 $-5,015.04
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $204,798.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$194,798.06
Total Return: +1947.98%
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