Compendium › Wrecking Ball › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period

+23.11%
Year to Date Return
$19,678.91
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$15,985.12
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
8.7/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 78.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 76.9

30-Day Momentum

38
+5.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.1 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,122
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,985.12
Current Value
$19,678.91
Period P&L
$3,693.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
22 / 8
Best Trade
+2.82%
Worst Trade
-3.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,054,650.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,693.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,693.79
Gross Return
+23.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,985.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $615.14 26 $15,985.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $623.47 26 $16,201.59 $16,201.59 +$216.47
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET $619.17 26 $16,201.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $621.04 26 $16,250.52 $16,250.52 +$48.93
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $608.50 27 $16,250.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $622.78 27 $16,631.88 $16,631.88 +$381.36
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $626.19 27 $16,631.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $626.22 27 $16,632.68 $16,632.68 +$0.80
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $601.21 28 $16,632.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $614.32 28 $16,995.37 $16,995.37 +$362.69
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $609.76 28 $16,995.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $601.82 28 $16,774.06 $16,774.06 $-221.31
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:10am ET $608.93 28 $16,774.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.04 28 $16,749.54 $16,749.54 $-24.52
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $603.77 28 $16,749.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $607.76 28 $16,860.09 $16,860.09 +$110.55
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET $600.16 28 $16,860.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.31 28 $16,864.30 $16,864.30 +$4.21
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $587.82 29 $16,864.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $588.17 29 $16,874.48 $16,874.48 +$10.18
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $580.52 29 $16,874.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $558.27 29 $16,227.73 $16,227.73 $-646.75
(-3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.55 28 $16,227.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $588.72 28 $16,627.95 $16,627.95 +$400.22
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $647.41 26 $16,627.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $664.27 26 $17,061.11 $17,061.11 +$433.16
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:25am ET $705.04 24 $17,061.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $719.72 24 $17,416.23 $17,416.23 +$355.12
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $697.03 25 $17,416.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $714.44 25 $17,851.24 $17,851.24 +$435.01
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $734.46 24 $17,851.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $716.10 24 $17,404.99 $17,404.99 $-446.25
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $701.73 25 $17,404.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $716.56 25 $17,772.82 $17,772.82 +$367.83
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $721.80 25 $17,772.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $738.05 25 $18,172.82 $18,172.82 +$400.00
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $709.16 26 $18,172.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $705.54 26 $18,080.05 $18,080.05 $-92.77
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $726.23 25 $18,080.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $722.65 25 $17,990.92 $17,990.92 $-89.13
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $716.23 25 $17,990.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $717.69 25 $18,027.59 $18,027.59 +$36.67
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $690.27 26 $18,027.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $708.95 26 $18,515.38 $18,515.38 +$487.79
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $695.75 27 $18,515.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $682.06 27 $18,151.06 $18,151.06 $-364.32
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $669.11 27 $18,151.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $688.01 27 $18,663.62 $18,663.62 +$512.56
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $710.91 26 $18,663.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $720.80 26 $18,923.26 $18,923.26 +$259.64
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $720.03 26 $18,923.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $710.95 26 $18,684.76 $18,684.76 $-238.50
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $705.89 26 $18,684.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $711.30 26 $18,828.09 $18,828.09 +$143.33
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $706.99 27 $18,828.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $717.61 27 $19,110.91 $19,110.91 +$282.82
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $707.78 27 $19,110.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $709.16 27 $19,148.31 $19,148.31 +$37.40
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $701.91 27 $19,148.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $721.36 27 $19,678.91 $19,678.91 +$530.60
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,678.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,678.91
Total Return: +96.79%
Back to Wrecking Ball