Compendium › Wrecking Ball › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+11.66%
Year to Date Return
$35,062.24
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$31,400.06
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:06:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 73.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 68.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$31,400.06
Current Value
$35,062.24
Period P&L
$3,662.18
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
13 / 13
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-8.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,782,140.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,662.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,662.18
Gross Return
+11.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $31,400.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $441.60 71 $31,400.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $432.95 71 $30,785.00 $30,785.00 $-615.06
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $427.71 72 $30,785.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $449.37 72 $32,344.39 $32,344.39 +$1,559.39
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $423.33 76 $32,344.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.79 76 $32,226.73 $32,226.73 $-117.66
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $396.48 81 $32,226.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.16 81 $33,907.64 $33,907.64 +$1,680.91
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET $421.06 81 $33,907.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.42 81 $33,614.60 $33,614.60 $-293.04
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET $389.97 86 $33,614.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.40 86 $34,944.74 $34,944.74 +$1,330.14
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $387.40 90 $34,944.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $407.84 90 $36,788.39 $36,788.39 +$1,843.65
(+5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $381.69 96 $36,788.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.85 96 $36,707.43 $36,707.43 $-80.96
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $363.30 101 $36,707.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.75 101 $37,561.21 $37,561.21 +$853.78
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $367.48 102 $37,561.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $346.56 102 $35,423.40 $35,423.40 $-2,137.81
(-5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET $393.30 90 $35,423.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.20 90 $34,873.55 $34,873.55 $-549.85
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $366.93 95 $34,873.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $372.80 95 $35,431.44 $35,431.44 +$557.89
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:20am ET $426.85 83 $35,431.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $443.18 83 $36,786.94 $36,786.94 +$1,355.50
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $411.94 89 $36,786.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.27 89 $37,262.92 $37,262.92 +$475.98
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $431.33 86 $37,262.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.74 86 $36,607.64 $36,607.64 $-655.28
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $409.65 89 $36,607.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.57 89 $35,438.66 $35,438.66 $-1,168.98
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $388.15 91 $35,438.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $381.57 91 $34,837.90 $34,837.90 $-600.76
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $414.00 84 $34,837.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $402.98 84 $33,910.57 $33,910.57 $-927.33
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $396.41 86 $33,910.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $394.19 86 $33,720.66 $33,720.66 $-189.91
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $378.38 89 $33,720.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $378.92 89 $33,768.77 $33,768.77 +$48.11
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $337.91 100 $33,768.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.24 100 $30,903.65 $30,903.65 $-2,865.12
(-8.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $298.36 104 $30,903.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $311.12 104 $32,225.31 $32,225.31 +$1,321.66
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET $340.42 95 $32,225.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.89 95 $31,890.21 $31,890.21 $-335.10
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $340.31 94 $31,890.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.94 94 $32,698.92 $32,698.92 +$808.71
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $343.72 95 $32,698.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.76 95 $33,178.49 $33,178.49 +$479.57
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $356.14 93 $33,178.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $376.36 93 $35,062.24 $35,062.24 +$1,883.75
(+5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $35,062.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$25,062.24
Total Return: +250.62%
Back to Wrecking Ball