Compendium › Wrecking Ball › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 19 trades in period

+6.55%
Year to Date Return
$33,457.19
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$31,400.06
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 22:42:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.7/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
6.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 72.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 72.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-71 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,288
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$31,400.06
Current Value
$33,457.19
Period P&L
$2,057.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+5.22%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,297,886.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,057.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,057.13
Gross Return
+6.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $31,400.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $441.60 71 $31,400.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $432.95 71 $30,785.00 $30,785.00 $-615.06
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $427.71 72 $30,785.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $449.37 72 $32,344.39 $32,344.39 +$1,559.39
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $423.33 76 $32,344.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.79 76 $32,226.73 $32,226.73 $-117.66
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $396.48 81 $32,226.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.16 81 $33,907.64 $33,907.64 +$1,680.91
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET $421.06 81 $33,907.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.88 81 $33,571.12 $33,571.12 $-336.52
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $408.07 82 $33,571.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $410.73 82 $33,789.95 $33,789.95 +$218.83
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET $391.14 86 $33,789.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.39 86 $35,020.98 $35,020.98 +$1,231.03
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $390.44 90 $35,020.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $407.21 90 $36,525.18 $36,525.18 +$1,504.20
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $381.09 96 $36,525.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.90 96 $36,506.97 $36,506.97 $-18.21
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $363.05 101 $36,506.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.39 101 $37,346.12 $37,346.12 +$839.15
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 102 $37,346.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.84 102 $35,444.96 $35,444.96 $-1,901.16
(-5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET $392.92 90 $35,444.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.13 90 $34,922.65 $34,922.65 $-522.31
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 93 $34,922.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.33 93 $35,449.26 $35,449.26 +$526.61
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $433.71 82 $35,449.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.49 82 $32,978.95 $32,978.95 $-2,470.31
(-7.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:30am ET $414.67 80 $32,978.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $433.95 80 $34,511.96 $34,511.96 +$1,533.01
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $430.16 80 $34,511.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.74 80 $33,996.88 $33,996.88 $-515.08
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $409.65 83 $33,996.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.30 83 $32,889.27 $32,889.27 $-1,107.61
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $387.41 85 $32,889.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.99 85 $34,296.83 $34,296.83 +$1,407.56
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $390.50 88 $34,296.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.94 88 $33,457.19 $33,457.19 $-839.64
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $33,457.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$23,457.19
Total Return: +234.57%
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