WMT Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
-18.33%
Year to Date Return
$11,743.01
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$14,379.04
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
37.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 37.5
30-Day Momentum
1
-2.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,814
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,379.04
Current Value
$11,743.01
Period P&L
$-2,636.03
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
24 /
18
Best Trade
+4.74%
Worst Trade
-10.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,186,404.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,636.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,636.03
Gross Return
-18.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,379.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $112.80 | 127 | $14,379.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.53 | 127 | $14,600.22 | $14,600.22 |
+$221.18 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $119.35 | 122 | $14,600.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $120.00 | 122 | $14,679.74 | $14,679.74 |
+$79.52 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $118.42 | 124 | $14,679.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.86 | 124 | $14,610.32 | $14,610.32 |
$-69.42 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.71 | 125 | $14,610.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.38 | 125 | $14,694.19 | $14,694.19 |
+$83.87 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $127.77 | 115 | $14,694.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $128.97 | 115 | $14,832.20 | $14,832.20 |
+$138.01 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $127.59 | 116 | $14,832.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $133.64 | 116 | $15,535.51 | $15,535.51 |
+$703.31 (+4.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.34 | 117 | $15,535.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $126.60 | 117 | $14,861.69 | $14,861.69 |
$-673.82 (-4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $127.74 | 116 | $14,861.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $125.84 | 116 | $14,640.64 | $14,640.64 |
$-221.05 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $125.03 | 117 | $14,640.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $127.08 | 117 | $14,880.69 | $14,880.69 |
+$240.05 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.23 | 118 | $14,880.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $123.32 | 118 | $14,537.64 | $14,537.64 |
$-343.05 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $123.24 | 118 | $14,537.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $119.03 | 118 | $14,041.02 | $14,041.02 |
$-496.62 (-3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $119.03 | 118 | $14,041.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $122.09 | 118 | $14,401.98 | $14,401.98 |
+$360.96 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $122.89 | 117 | $14,401.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $125.79 | 117 | $14,741.84 | $14,741.84 |
+$339.86 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.04 | 118 | $14,741.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $129.14 | 118 | $15,225.22 | $15,225.22 |
+$483.38 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $127.78 | 119 | $15,225.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $125.05 | 119 | $14,900.52 | $14,900.52 |
$-324.70 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.36 | 121 | $14,900.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $127.47 | 121 | $15,396.96 | $15,396.96 |
+$496.44 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $127.62 | 121 | $15,396.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $129.96 | 121 | $15,679.27 | $15,679.27 |
+$282.31 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.24 | 120 | $15,679.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $127.59 | 120 | $15,359.65 | $15,359.65 |
$-319.62 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $129.95 | 118 | $15,359.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $130.38 | 118 | $15,410.48 | $15,410.48 |
+$50.83 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.01 | 119 | $15,410.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $131.48 | 119 | $15,705.53 | $15,705.53 |
+$295.05 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $132.69 | 118 | $15,705.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $120.26 | 118 | $14,234.28 | $14,234.28 |
$-1,471.25 (-9.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $118.83 | 120 | $14,234.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $118.90 | 120 | $14,242.67 | $14,242.67 |
+$8.39 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $117.48 | 121 | $14,242.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $113.04 | 121 | $13,703.78 | $13,703.78 |
$-538.89 (-3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $117.65 | 116 | $13,703.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $119.81 | 116 | $13,954.78 | $13,954.78 |
+$251.00 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $118.40 | 118 | $13,954.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $120.43 | 118 | $14,194.33 | $14,194.33 |
+$239.55 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $119.85 | 118 | $14,194.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $121.02 | 118 | $14,332.90 | $14,332.90 |
+$138.57 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $119.75 | 120 | $14,332.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.12 | 120 | $14,018.12 | $14,018.12 |
$-314.78 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.32 | 119 | $14,018.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.56 | 119 | $13,688.34 | $13,688.34 |
$-329.78 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $113.51 | 121 | $13,688.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $111.71 | 121 | $13,470.68 | $13,470.68 |
$-217.66 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $110.75 | 122 | $13,470.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $113.05 | 122 | $13,750.44 | $13,750.44 |
+$279.76 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $111.71 | 123 | $13,750.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.81 | 123 | $14,131.41 | $14,131.41 |
+$380.97 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $114.34 | 124 | $14,131.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.92 | 124 | $14,203.09 | $14,203.09 |
+$71.68 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $116.02 | 122 | $14,203.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $110.37 | 122 | $13,511.42 | $13,511.42 |
$-691.67 (-4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $109.37 | 124 | $13,511.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $109.46 | 124 | $13,522.54 | $13,522.54 |
+$11.12 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $114.26 | 118 | $13,522.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $111.09 | 118 | $13,147.37 | $13,147.37 |
$-375.17 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $110.89 | 119 | $13,147.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $112.35 | 119 | $13,319.88 | $13,319.88 |
+$172.51 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $112.28 | 119 | $13,319.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $112.68 | 119 | $13,367.33 | $13,367.33 |
+$47.45 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $115.38 | 116 | $13,367.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $103.70 | 116 | $12,014.04 | $12,014.04 |
$-1,353.29 (-10.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $105.20 | 114 | $12,014.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $102.62 | 114 | $11,719.40 | $11,719.40 |
$-294.64 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $107.57 | 109 | $11,719.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $105.85 | 109 | $11,532.00 | $11,532.00 |
$-187.40 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $108.51 | 106 | $11,532.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $106.77 | 106 | $11,347.08 | $11,347.08 |
$-184.92 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $106.33 | 107 | $11,347.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $110.04 | 107 | $11,743.01 | $11,743.01 |
+$395.93 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,743.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,743.01
Total Return:
+17.43%