MDT Wrecking Ball's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 56 trades executed
+21.09%
2 Years Return
$12,560.88
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,372.86
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
45.8/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 39.2
30-Day Momentum
7
+1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.8
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,568
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
514 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,372.86
Current Value
$12,560.88
Total P&L
$2,188.02
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
43
Winners / Losers
25 /
18
Best Trade
+5.45%
Worst Trade
-5.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,000,726.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,188.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,188.02
Gross Return
+21.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 514 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $10,372.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:40am ET | $89.24 | 116 | $10,372.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $89.69 | 116 | $10,425.17 | $10,425.17 |
+$52.31 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 10:30am ET | $89.34 | 117 | $10,425.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $88.25 | 117 | $10,297.98 | $10,297.98 |
$-127.19 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $85.07 | 121 | $10,297.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 22, 2024 3:55pm ET | $86.21 | 121 | $10,435.98 | $10,435.98 |
+$138.00 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 10:15am ET | $79.35 | 132 | $10,435.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $80.95 | 132 | $10,646.41 | $10,646.41 |
+$210.43 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $81.63 | 130 | $10,646.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $85.40 | 130 | $11,138.79 | $11,138.79 |
+$492.38 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 9:50am ET | $90.74 | 123 | $11,138.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $91.71 | 123 | $11,257.86 | $11,257.86 |
+$119.07 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.45 | 130 | $11,257.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $89.96 | 130 | $11,714.95 | $11,714.95 |
+$457.09 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $93.74 | 125 | $11,714.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $94.51 | 125 | $11,811.18 | $11,811.18 |
+$96.23 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $92.07 | 128 | $11,811.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $93.32 | 128 | $11,971.54 | $11,971.54 |
+$160.36 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $90.38 | 132 | $11,971.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $88.60 | 132 | $11,736.41 | $11,736.41 |
$-235.13 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $87.88 | 134 | $11,736.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $88.83 | 134 | $11,863.28 | $11,863.28 |
+$126.87 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.22 | 138 | $11,863.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $85.27 | 138 | $11,732.57 | $11,732.57 |
$-130.71 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $83.13 | 141 | $11,732.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $82.35 | 141 | $11,622.48 | $11,622.48 |
$-110.09 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $84.85 | 137 | $11,622.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $81.21 | 137 | $11,123.88 | $11,123.88 |
$-498.60 (-4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 10:05am ET | $88.96 | 125 | $11,123.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $89.33 | 125 | $11,170.15 | $11,170.15 |
+$46.27 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.22 | 127 | $11,170.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $92.68 | 127 | $11,735.53 | $11,735.53 |
+$565.38 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.35 | 126 | $11,735.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $95.21 | 126 | $11,969.36 | $11,969.36 |
+$233.83 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $93.36 | 128 | $11,969.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $98.45 | 128 | $12,621.97 | $12,621.97 |
+$652.61 (+5.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $94.64 | 133 | $12,621.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $93.21 | 133 | $12,431.25 | $12,431.25 |
$-190.72 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 10:25am ET | $91.74 | 136 | $12,431.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $90.22 | 136 | $12,225.27 | $12,225.27 |
$-205.98 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $97.10 | 126 | $12,225.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $96.54 | 126 | $12,154.76 | $12,154.76 |
$-70.51 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $97.56 | 125 | $12,154.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.73 | 125 | $12,301.16 | $12,301.16 |
+$146.40 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.98 | 128 | $12,301.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $100.91 | 128 | $12,933.68 | $12,933.68 |
+$632.52 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $101.33 | 128 | $12,933.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $101.64 | 128 | $12,972.61 | $12,972.61 |
+$38.93 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.16 | 130 | $12,972.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $96.25 | 130 | $12,466.19 | $12,466.19 |
$-506.42 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $96.43 | 129 | $12,466.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $90.85 | 129 | $11,744.21 | $11,744.21 |
$-721.98 (-5.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $90.09 | 130 | $11,744.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $87.13 | 130 | $11,357.69 | $11,357.69 |
$-386.52 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.73 | 131 | $11,357.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.07 | 131 | $11,271.58 | $11,271.58 |
$-86.11 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $86.92 | 130 | $11,271.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $85.00 | 130 | $11,022.60 | $11,022.60 |
$-248.98 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $82.35 | 134 | $11,022.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $80.00 | 134 | $10,707.38 | $10,707.38 |
$-315.22 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $74.76 | 143 | $10,707.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $76.91 | 143 | $11,015.31 | $11,015.31 |
+$307.93 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $76.42 | 144 | $11,015.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $74.00 | 144 | $10,665.77 | $10,665.77 |
$-349.54 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $80.12 | 133 | $10,665.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $80.32 | 133 | $10,692.39 | $10,692.39 |
+$26.62 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $78.21 | 137 | $10,692.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $80.62 | 137 | $11,021.87 | $11,021.87 |
+$329.48 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $79.42 | 139 | $11,021.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $83.07 | 139 | $11,528.42 | $11,528.42 |
+$506.55 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $84.42 | 137 | $11,528.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $83.85 | 137 | $11,450.58 | $11,450.58 |
$-77.84 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.00 | 143 | $11,450.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $83.18 | 143 | $11,905.74 | $11,905.74 |
+$455.16 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $81.95 | 145 | $11,905.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $83.20 | 145 | $12,087.34 | $12,087.34 |
+$181.60 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $85.55 | 141 | $12,087.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.20 | 141 | $12,179.18 | $12,179.18 |
+$91.84 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $88.97 | 137 | $12,179.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $90.60 | 137 | $12,401.62 | $12,401.62 |
+$222.44 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:25am ET | $91.51 | 136 | $12,401.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $91.21 | 136 | $12,360.29 | $12,360.29 |
$-41.33 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $91.47 | 135 | $12,360.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $94.16 | 135 | $12,723.79 | $12,723.79 |
+$363.50 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $92.16 | 138 | $12,723.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $90.98 | 138 | $12,560.88 | $12,560.88 |
$-162.91 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,560.88
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,560.88
Total Return:
+25.61%