Compendium › Wrecking Ball › SPY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPY
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 24 trades executed

+38.21%
2 Years Return
$13,534.45
Current Value
81%
Win Rate
$9,792.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:05:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.7/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
13.1/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 73.5/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 46.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,763
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,792.94
Current Value
$13,534.45
Total P&L
$3,741.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
21
Winners / Losers
17 / 4
Best Trade
+5.94%
Worst Trade
-2.54%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$478,663.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,741.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,741.51
Gross Return
+38.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $9,792.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $589.43 17 $9,792.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 3:55pm ET $594.78 17 $9,881.83 $9,881.83 +$88.89
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 10:20am ET $584.47 17 $9,881.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $591.87 17 $10,006.94 $10,006.94 +$125.11
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 10:10am ET $579.55 17 $10,006.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $592.78 17 $10,235.38 $10,235.38 +$228.44
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $597.38 17 $10,235.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $604.98 17 $10,365.60 $10,365.60 +$130.22
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET $592.73 17 $10,365.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $606.34 17 $10,603.61 $10,603.61 +$238.01
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 3:35pm ET $580.53 18 $10,603.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $572.80 18 $10,462.42 $10,462.42 $-141.19
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET $565.90 18 $10,462.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $551.51 18 $10,196.38 $10,196.38 $-266.04
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET $547.42 19 $10,196.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $537.64 19 $10,014.19 $10,014.19 $-182.19
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 12:20pm ET $512.90 20 $10,014.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $543.37 20 $10,609.11 $10,609.11 +$594.92
(+5.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET $522.07 20 $10,609.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $537.72 20 $10,927.14 $10,927.14 +$318.03
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $520.60 21 $10,927.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $546.54 21 $11,471.61 $11,471.61 +$544.47
(+5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:35am ET $544.27 21 $11,471.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $563.53 21 $11,877.55 $11,877.55 +$405.94
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $577.26 21 $11,877.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $590.00 21 $12,139.68 $12,139.68 +$262.13
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $624.32 19 $12,139.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $632.67 19 $12,302.14 $12,302.14 +$162.46
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET $662.44 19 $12,302.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $665.08 19 $12,351.17 $12,351.17 +$49.03
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $664.44 19 $12,351.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $675.01 19 $12,547.65 $12,547.65 +$196.48
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $681.11 18 $12,547.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $689.19 18 $12,696.41 $12,696.41 +$148.76
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $676.86 19 $12,696.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $692.09 19 $12,982.09 $12,982.09 +$285.68
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $674.54 19 $12,982.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $672.47 19 $12,942.35 $12,942.35 $-39.74
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $735.26 18 $12,942.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $741.66 18 $13,055.00 $13,055.00 +$112.65
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $730.83 18 $13,055.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $757.67 18 $13,534.45 $13,534.45 +$479.45
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,534.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,534.45
Total Return: +35.34%
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