Compendium › Yield Squeeze › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 6 trades in period

+2.98%
Last Year Return
$13,949.15
Current Value
83%
Win Rate
$13,545.30
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jul 15, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 45%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.6/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
13.9/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 67.0/100
× Confidence 0.45 = 30.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (45%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,545.30
Current Value
$13,949.15
Period P&L
$403.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+6.83%
Worst Trade
-14.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$164,168.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$403.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$403.85
Gross Return
+2.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $13,545.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $347.48 39 $13,545.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $349.42 39 $13,620.92 $13,620.92 +$75.62
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:10am ET $375.04 36 $13,620.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $386.07 36 $14,021.51 $14,021.51 +$400.59
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $376.95 37 $14,021.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $401.18 37 $14,922.78 $14,922.78 +$901.27
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $400.28 37 $14,922.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $341.04 37 $12,714.23 $12,714.23 $-2,208.55
(-14.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $327.32 39 $12,714.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.15 39 $13,057.61 $13,057.61 +$343.38
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $371.28 35 $13,057.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.63 35 $13,949.15 $13,949.15 +$891.54
(+6.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,949.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,949.15
Total Return: +39.49%
Back to Yield Squeeze