Compendium › Yield Squeeze › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 18 trades in period

-7.48%
Last Year Return
$9,862.21
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,660.06
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 6.0/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,283
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,660.06
Current Value
$9,862.21
Period P&L
$-797.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+6.39%
Worst Trade
-6.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$384,515.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-797.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-797.85
Gross Return
-7.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,660.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:35am ET $375.98 28 $10,660.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $386.06 28 $10,945.77 $10,945.77 +$285.71
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $382.90 29 $10,945.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $357.03 29 $10,206.13 $10,206.13 $-739.64
(-6.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $324.49 31 $10,206.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $343.79 31 $10,813.17 $10,813.17 +$607.04
(+5.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 12:10pm ET $354.12 31 $10,813.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $330.39 31 $10,088.71 $10,088.71 $-724.46
(-6.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 2:50pm ET $307.69 33 $10,088.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $319.21 33 $10,466.43 $10,466.43 +$377.72
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $249.05 42 $10,466.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $264.97 42 $11,135.70 $11,135.70 +$669.27
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:50am ET $265.10 42 $11,135.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $263.21 42 $11,056.37 $11,056.37 $-79.33
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:50am ET $273.18 40 $11,056.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $269.81 40 $10,919.98 $10,919.98 $-136.39
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET $272.97 40 $10,919.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $277.37 40 $11,096.00 $11,096.00 +$176.02
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $266.64 42 $11,096.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $267.65 42 $11,138.03 $11,138.03 +$42.03
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:55pm ET $251.00 44 $11,138.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $252.62 44 $11,209.92 $11,209.92 +$71.89
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:35pm ET $248.31 45 $11,209.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $239.20 45 $10,798.65 $10,798.65 $-411.27
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $248.86 43 $10,798.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $241.16 43 $10,464.53 $10,464.53 $-334.12
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $166.01 63 $10,464.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.27 63 $11,047.91 $11,047.91 +$583.38
(+5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET $180.84 61 $11,047.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $168.92 61 $10,319.69 $10,319.69 $-728.22
(-6.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $212.34 49 $10,319.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $211.38 49 $10,273.52 $10,273.52 $-46.17
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $189.80 54 $10,273.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.05 54 $10,016.15 $10,016.15 $-257.37
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET $149.00 67 $10,016.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $146.71 67 $9,862.21 $9,862.21 $-153.94
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,862.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-137.79
Total Return: -1.38%
Back to Yield Squeeze