Compendium › Yield Squeeze › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 8 trades in period

+4.18%
Last Year Return
$12,169.42
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$11,680.82
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:31

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Aug 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
11.5/15
Profit Factor
12.3/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 57.7/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 27.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,446
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,680.82
Current Value
$12,169.42
Period P&L
$488.60
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+2.71%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$194,918.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$488.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$488.60
Gross Return
+4.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $11,680.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $188.15 62 $11,680.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $193.24 62 $11,997.14 $11,997.14 +$316.32
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET $203.21 59 $11,997.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $206.92 59 $12,216.17 $12,216.17 +$219.03
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $203.62 60 $12,216.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $200.04 60 $12,001.39 $12,001.39 $-214.78
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $215.92 56 $12,001.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.43 56 $12,307.94 $12,307.94 +$306.55
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET $243.88 50 $12,307.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $245.41 50 $12,385.41 $12,385.41 +$77.47
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $244.70 51 $12,385.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.61 51 $12,279.88 $12,279.88 $-105.53
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET $241.44 51 $12,279.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.74 51 $12,346.00 $12,346.00 +$66.12
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $225.13 55 $12,346.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.91 55 $12,169.42 $12,169.42 $-176.58
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,169.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,169.42
Total Return: +21.69%
Back to Yield Squeeze