Compendium › Yield Squeeze › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 5 trades in period

+1.35%
Last Year Return
$11,518.55
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$11,365.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:48:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Aug 22, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
11.5/15
Profit Factor
14.5/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 54.4/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,217
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,365.00
Current Value
$11,518.55
Period P&L
$153.55
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+2.16%
Worst Trade
-2.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,272.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$153.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$153.55
Gross Return
+1.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $11,365.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $155.17 73 $11,365.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $155.15 73 $11,363.54 $11,363.54 $-1.46
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $162.01 70 $11,363.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.68 70 $11,129.97 $11,129.97 $-233.57
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $176.74 63 $11,129.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.55 63 $11,369.90 $11,369.90 +$239.93
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $188.83 60 $11,369.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.18 60 $11,331.06 $11,331.06 $-38.84
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:55am ET $197.93 57 $11,331.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.20 57 $11,518.55 $11,518.55 +$187.49
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,518.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,518.55
Total Return: +15.19%
Back to Yield Squeeze