Compendium › Yield Squeeze › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-09 to present • 13 trades in period

+8.47%
Last Year Return
$10,846.78
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:30:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 35.5/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 22.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,562
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,846.78
Period P&L
$846.78
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+3.55%
Worst Trade
-1.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,832.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$846.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$846.78
Gross Return
+8.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $559.06 18 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $565.09 18 $10,107.86 $10,107.86 +$107.86
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $557.10 18 $10,107.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $560.19 18 $10,163.92 $10,163.92 +$56.06
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET $574.02 18 $10,163.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $580.47 18 $10,278.13 $10,278.13 +$114.21
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $604.54 17 $10,278.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $598.05 17 $10,167.79 $10,167.79 $-110.34
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $597.61 17 $10,167.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $596.33 17 $10,146.01 $10,146.01 $-21.78
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $598.03 17 $10,146.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $619.25 17 $10,506.02 $10,506.02 +$360.01
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET $617.74 17 $10,506.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $611.80 17 $10,404.98 $10,404.98 $-101.04
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $609.76 17 $10,404.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $601.26 17 $10,259.94 $10,259.94 $-145.04
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $608.11 17 $10,259.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.72 17 $10,270.23 $10,270.23 +$10.29
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $596.14 17 $10,270.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.51 17 $10,483.34 $10,483.34 +$213.11
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $600.04 17 $10,483.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $606.95 17 $10,604.07 $10,604.07 +$120.73
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $600.22 18 $10,604.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.03 18 $10,600.71 $10,600.71 $-3.36
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 18 $10,600.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $587.87 18 $10,846.78 $10,846.78 +$246.07
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,846.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$846.78
Total Return: +8.47%
Back to Yield Squeeze