Compendium › Yield Squeeze › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 9 trades in period

+4.74%
Last Year Return
$10,136.95
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$9,677.93
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jul 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 44%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
3.1/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.44 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (44%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
252 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,677.93
Current Value
$10,136.95
Period P&L
$459.02
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.81

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+5.03%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,213.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$459.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$459.02
Gross Return
+4.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 252 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $9,677.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 10:00am ET $463.86 21 $9,633.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $462.00 21 $9,594.86 $9,594.86 $-38.52
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:50am ET $557.69 17 $9,594.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $566.11 17 $9,739.72 $9,739.72 +$144.86
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $571.50 17 $9,739.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $580.12 17 $9,886.63 $9,886.63 +$146.91
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $559.41 18 $9,886.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $587.56 18 $10,384.13 $10,384.13 +$497.50
(+5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $596.30 17 $10,384.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $618.84 17 $10,776.65 $10,776.65 +$392.52
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $575.87 19 $10,776.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $569.70 19 $10,661.28 $10,661.28 $-115.37
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $504.61 21 $10,661.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $500.46 21 $10,573.60 $10,573.60 $-87.68
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET $493.02 21 $10,573.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $471.15 21 $10,104.57 $10,104.57 $-469.03
(-4.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $524.27 19 $10,104.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $525.95 19 $10,136.95 $10,136.95 +$32.38
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,136.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$136.95
Total Return: +1.37%
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