Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-19 05:30:37

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
14
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
65.1/25
Win Rate
95.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
83.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 70.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-19 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,213.65
Current Value
$10,995.15
Period P&L
$-218.50
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.86

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+0.16%
Worst Trade
-2.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.97%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$44,162.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-218.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-218.50
Gross Return
-1.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $11,213.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $584.78 19 $11,213.65
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $572.44 19 $10,977.07 $10,977.07 $-236.58
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $674.00 16 $10,977.07
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $675.11 16 $10,995.15 $10,995.15 +$18.08
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,995.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$995.15
Total Return: +9.95%
Back to Yield Squeeze