Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 02:11:18

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
11.8/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 41.7/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 25.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,229
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,241.86
Current Value
$11,406.75
Period P&L
$164.89
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+3.28%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,247.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$164.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$164.89
Gross Return
+1.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $11,241.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $561.67 20 $11,241.86
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $580.08 20 $11,610.34 $11,610.34 +$368.48
(+3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $556.93 21 $11,610.34
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $542.76 21 $11,314.94 $11,314.94 $-295.40
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $514.42 22 $11,314.94
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $521.18 22 $11,463.63 $11,463.63 +$148.69
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $514.45 22 $11,463.63
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.08 22 $11,098.85 $11,098.85 $-364.78
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $491.76 23 $11,098.85
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $501.20 23 $11,311.91 $11,311.91 +$213.06
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:15am ET $495.01 23 $11,311.91
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $499.16 23 $11,406.75 $11,406.75 +$94.84
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,406.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,406.75
Total Return: +14.07%
Back to Yield Squeeze