Compendium › Yield Squeeze › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-09 to present • 5 trades in period

+1.14%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,289.85
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$11,162.47
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:29:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 33.7/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 23.8

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
3.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.8 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-10 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,162.47
Current Value
$11,289.85
Period P&L
$127.38
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+1.65%
Worst Trade
-1.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$111,610.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$127.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$127.38
Gross Return
+1.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $11,162.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $486.21 23 $11,162.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $477.74 23 $10,968.01 $10,968.01 $-194.46
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.58 30 $10,968.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.62 30 $11,149.22 $11,149.22 +$181.21
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 26 $11,149.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.89 26 $11,152.11 $11,152.11 +$2.89
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 27 $11,152.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.05 27 $11,309.63 $11,309.63 +$157.52
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $414.63 27 $11,309.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.90 27 $11,289.85 $11,289.85 $-19.78
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,289.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,289.85
Total Return: +12.90%
Back to Yield Squeeze