Compendium › Yield Squeeze › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 5 trades in period

+39.48%
Year to Date Return
$17,169.32
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$12,309.51
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
10.8/15
Profit Factor
14.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 82.3/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 53.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,309.51
Current Value
$17,169.32
Period P&L
$4,859.81
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.00

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+19.09%
Worst Trade
+0.38%
Avg Trade Return
+7.11%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$158,023.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,859.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,859.81
Gross Return
+39.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $12,309.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 36 $12,309.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.99 36 $14,659.58 $14,659.58 +$2,350.07
(+19.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $410.40 36 $14,659.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.62 36 $16,274.85 $16,274.85 +$1,615.27
(+11.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $446.62 36 $16,274.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $448.32 36 $16,336.80 $16,336.80 +$61.95
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:55am ET $496.58 33 $16,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $516.78 33 $17,001.34 $17,001.34 +$664.54
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 18 $17,001.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $966.72 18 $17,169.32 $17,169.32 +$167.98
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,169.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,169.32
Total Return: +71.69%
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