Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:27:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
3.2/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.61 = 7.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,993
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,145.75
Total P&L
$145.75
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-5.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$218,134.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$145.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$145.75
Gross Return
+1.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:25am ET $476.76 21 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $493.07 21 $10,342.10 $10,342.10 +$342.10
(+3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $506.82 20 $10,342.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $531.82 20 $10,852.25 $10,852.25 +$510.15
(+4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $525.77 21 $10,852.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $536.75 21 $11,078.88 $11,078.88 +$226.63
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $557.55 20 $11,078.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $592.36 20 $11,770.60 $11,770.60 +$691.72
(+6.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $575.01 20 $11,770.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $541.00 20 $11,074.41 $11,074.41 $-696.19
(-5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $490.45 23 $11,074.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $490.38 23 $11,072.72 $11,072.72 $-1.69
(-0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $455.33 24 $11,072.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $461.81 24 $11,230.30 $11,230.30 +$157.58
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $461.85 24 $11,230.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.03 24 $10,991.52 $10,991.52 $-238.78
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $471.36 23 $10,991.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $453.79 23 $10,581.81 $10,581.81 $-409.71
(-3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $391.30 27 $10,581.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.18 27 $10,145.75 $10,145.75 $-436.06
(-4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,145.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$145.75
Total Return: +1.46%
Back to Yield Squeeze