Compendium › Yield Squeeze › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 16 trades executed

+4.18%
2 Years Return
$10,417.79
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:21:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
5.9/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 20.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,234
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,417.79
Total P&L
$417.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
10 / 6
Best Trade
+2.38%
Worst Trade
-1.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,625.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$417.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$417.79
Gross Return
+4.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 12:15pm ET $195.33 51 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $196.78 51 $10,074.23 $10,074.23 +$74.23
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 11:30am ET $217.35 46 $10,074.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $221.45 46 $10,264.29 $10,264.29 +$190.06
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:40am ET $227.95 45 $10,264.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $226.20 45 $10,185.71 $10,185.71 $-78.58
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:30am ET $235.85 43 $10,185.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $236.41 43 $10,209.89 $10,209.89 +$24.18
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $245.89 42 $10,209.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $246.98 42 $10,255.15 $10,255.15 +$45.26
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $237.97 43 $10,255.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $243.64 43 $10,499.49 $10,499.49 +$244.34
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:45pm ET $232.89 45 $10,499.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $229.13 45 $10,330.20 $10,330.20 $-169.29
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $262.23 39 $10,330.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.82 39 $10,432.23 $10,432.23 +$102.03
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $259.57 40 $10,432.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $260.52 40 $10,470.41 $10,470.41 +$38.18
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $263.17 40 $10,470.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.87 40 $10,458.28 $10,458.28 $-12.13
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:25am ET $260.22 40 $10,458.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.34 40 $10,623.86 $10,623.86 +$165.58
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET $262.84 40 $10,623.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $259.32 40 $10,481.58 $10,481.58 $-142.28
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 42 $10,481.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.47 42 $10,491.33 $10,491.33 +$9.75
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $247.65 42 $10,491.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $246.03 42 $10,422.70 $10,422.70 $-68.63
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $247.73 42 $10,422.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.30 42 $10,404.61 $10,404.61 $-18.09
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $276.28 38 $10,404.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.63 38 $10,417.79 $10,417.79 +$13.18
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,417.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$417.79
Total Return: +4.18%
Back to Yield Squeeze