Compendium › Yield Squeeze › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 18 trades executed

+7.65%
2 Years Return
$10,764.87
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:21:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,827
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,764.87
Total P&L
$764.87
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+13.12%
Worst Trade
-8.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.52%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$380,908.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$764.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$764.87
Gross Return
+7.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:55am ET $747.33 13 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $731.93 13 $9,793.96 $9,793.96 $-206.04
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET $742.09 13 $9,793.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $839.47 13 $11,079.24 $11,079.24 +$1,285.28
(+13.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $839.47 13 $11,079.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $828.40 13 $10,933.14 $10,933.14 $-146.10
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $870.05 13 $10,933.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $794.07 13 $9,978.37 $9,978.37 $-954.77
(-8.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $794.07 13 $9,978.37 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $775.17 13 $9,740.87 $9,740.87 $-237.50
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:00am ET $740.37 13 $9,740.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $725.12 13 $9,540.23 $9,540.23 $-200.64
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET $734.91 13 $9,540.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $765.97 13 $9,943.44 $9,943.44 +$403.21
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 9:40am ET $782.45 13 $9,943.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $789.65 13 $10,034.94 $10,034.94 +$91.50
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:40am ET $781.91 13 $10,034.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $775.71 13 $9,955.34 $9,955.34 $-79.60
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 10:40am ET $689.69 14 $9,955.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $704.87 14 $10,174.46 $10,174.46 +$219.12
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 10:30am ET $714.48 14 $10,174.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $731.98 14 $10,423.67 $10,423.67 +$249.21
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET $734.48 14 $10,423.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $754.87 14 $10,713.04 $10,713.04 +$289.37
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $919.10 12 $10,713.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $988.73 12 $11,524.65 $11,524.65 +$811.61
(+7.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $1,018.37 11 $11,524.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,030.36 11 $11,660.34 $11,660.34 +$135.69
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $940.00 12 $11,660.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $951.45 12 $11,802.37 $11,802.37 +$142.03
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $939.69 13 $11,802.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $907.93 13 $11,403.47 $11,403.47 $-398.90
(-3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $906.58 13 $11,403.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $903.96 13 $11,370.51 $11,370.51 $-32.96
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $900.42 13 $11,370.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $852.46 13 $10,764.87 $10,764.87 $-605.64
(-5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,764.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$764.87
Total Return: +7.65%
Back to Yield Squeeze