Compendium › Yield Squeeze › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

to 2026-04-02 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+12.14%
2 Years Return
$11,213.65
Current Value
83%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-04-03 20:16:16

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
9
Extreme Fear
VIX
24.5
ELEVATED
10Y Yield
4.31%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
3.28
NORMAL
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 4.8
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
65.1/25
Win Rate
95.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
83.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 70.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
78,958
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-04-03 → 2026-04-02
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,213.65
Total P&L
$1,213.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+11.23%
Worst Trade
-4.50%
Avg Trade Return
+2.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$133,531.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,213.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,213.65
Gross Return
+12.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 11:40am ET $538.53 19 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $554.63 19 $10,298.96 $10,298.96 +$298.96
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $537.11 19 $10,298.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $597.41 19 $11,455.20 $11,455.20 +$1,156.24
(+11.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $591.10 19 $11,455.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $597.15 19 $11,572.45 $11,572.45 +$117.25
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $658.79 18 $11,572.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $664.84 18 $11,678.73 $11,678.73 +$106.28
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $724.20 16 $11,678.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $691.63 16 $11,153.49 $11,153.49 $-525.24
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $667.37 17 $11,153.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $670.97 17 $11,213.65 $11,213.65 +$60.16
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,213.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,213.65
Total Return: +12.14%
Back to Yield Squeeze