Compendium › Yield Squeeze › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

-1.72%
2 Years Return
$9,827.68
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:21:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 9.0

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.0 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,421
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,827.68
Total P&L
$-172.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+4.09%
Worst Trade
-3.93%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$336,032.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-172.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-172.32
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 506 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:10pm ET $475.36 21 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $475.72 21 $10,007.57 $10,007.57 +$7.57
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 11:20am ET $490.65 20 $10,007.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $493.52 20 $10,066.11 $10,066.11 +$58.54
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $499.70 20 $10,066.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $499.76 20 $10,067.42 $10,067.42 +$1.31
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:25am ET $441.01 23 $10,067.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $429.55 23 $9,805.81 $9,805.81 $-261.61
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 11:10am ET $446.42 22 $9,805.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $441.85 22 $9,705.54 $9,705.54 $-100.27
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $463.36 21 $9,705.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $479.53 21 $10,044.24 $10,044.24 +$338.70
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET $417.10 24 $10,044.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $407.35 24 $9,809.57 $9,809.57 $-234.67
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $425.95 23 $9,809.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $424.00 23 $9,764.78 $9,764.78 $-44.79
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $449.80 22 $9,764.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $468.18 22 $10,163.79 $10,163.79 +$399.01
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $479.37 21 $10,163.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $460.52 21 $9,764.12 $9,764.12 $-399.67
(-3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $462.74 21 $9,764.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $474.17 21 $10,005.41 $10,005.41 +$241.29
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $477.50 21 $10,005.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $472.06 21 $9,891.42 $9,891.42 $-113.99
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET $488.30 20 $9,891.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.50 20 $9,692.80 $9,692.80 $-198.62
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $439.21 22 $9,692.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $442.00 22 $9,754.37 $9,754.37 +$61.57
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:10am ET $439.48 22 $9,754.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $439.49 22 $9,754.59 $9,754.59 +$0.22
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $428.49 23 $9,754.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $430.69 23 $9,804.67 $9,804.67 +$50.08
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $424.05 23 $9,804.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.04 23 $9,827.68 $9,827.68 +$23.01
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,827.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-172.32
Total Return: -1.72%
Back to Yield Squeeze