Compendium › Yield Stress › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+4.79%
Last Year Return
$13,972.81
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$13,334.06
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Apr 22, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 44%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.8/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 74.6/100
× Confidence 0.44 = 32.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (44%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,012
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,334.06
Current Value
$13,972.81
Period P&L
$638.75
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.22%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,572.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$638.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$638.75
Gross Return
+4.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $13,334.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $417.24 32 $13,334.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $429.25 32 $13,717.87 $13,717.87 +$383.81
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $449.45 31 $13,717.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $446.11 31 $13,615.93 $13,615.93 $-101.94
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $418.65 33 $13,615.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $408.91 33 $13,299.15 $13,299.15 $-316.78
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $427.71 31 $13,299.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $449.37 31 $13,972.81 $13,972.81 +$673.66
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,972.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,972.81
Total Return: +39.73%
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