Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

65
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
25.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 65.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 65.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,979
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$135,857.30
Current Value
$128,252.59
Period P&L
$-13,432.63
Max Drawdown
-85.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+10.14%
Worst Trade
-5.75%
Avg Trade Return
-1.64%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,085,121.01
Estimated Fees
$2,712.80
Gross P&L
$-13,432.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-16,145.44
Gross Return
-9.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.88%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $135,857.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.00000400 34,565,310,000 $138,261.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 5:05pm ET $0.00000377 34,565,310,000 $130,311.22 $130,311.22 $-8,621.45
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.00000345 37,771,368,116 $130,311.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $0.00000380 37,771,368,116 $143,531.20 $143,531.20 +$12,535.37
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $0.00000498 28,821,526,104 $143,531.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 7:25am ET $0.00000470 28,821,526,104 $135,461.17 $135,461.17 $-8,767.51
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000451 30,035,736,142 $135,461.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:15am ET $0.00000427 30,035,736,142 $128,252.59 $128,252.59 $-7,867.86
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $128,252.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$118,252.59
Total Return: +1182.53%
Back to Yolanda YOLO