Compendium › Yolanda YOLO › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Yolanda YOLO's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 17 trades in period

-3.60%
Last Year Return
$10,030.91
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$10,405.28
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:54:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
1.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.6/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,584
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,405.28
Current Value
$10,030.91
Period P&L
$-374.38
Max Drawdown
-33.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+10.72%
Worst Trade
-7.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
8.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,093.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-374.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-374.38
Gross Return
-3.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,405.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $43.51 243 $10,571.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET $40.86 243 $9,929.10 $9,929.12 $-642.61
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:40am ET $33.54 296 $9,927.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET $31.88 296 $9,436.48 $9,437.76 $-491.36
(-4.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 11:00am ET $29.04 325 $9,436.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $26.95 325 $8,758.72 $8,760.10 $-677.66
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:20am ET $30.38 288 $8,748.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:05pm ET $28.85 288 $8,307.36 $8,319.46 $-440.64
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET $33.56 247 $8,289.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $31.82 247 $7,859.39 $7,889.54 $-429.93
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:50am ET $28.28 278 $7,861.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $26.83 278 $7,460.13 $7,487.83 $-401.71
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $26.11 286 $7,467.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.14 286 $7,760.61 $7,780.98 +$293.15
(+3.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $22.66 343 $7,772.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $24.95 343 $8,557.85 $8,566.45 +$785.47
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $23.19 369 $8,558.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $22.03 369 $8,129.07 $8,136.57 $-429.88
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $22.70 358 $8,126.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $22.94 358 $8,214.31 $8,224.28 +$87.71
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $24.60 334 $8,216.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $26.14 334 $8,730.76 $8,738.64 +$514.36
(+6.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $25.44 343 $8,726.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $28.17 343 $9,661.62 $9,673.73 +$935.09
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $25.72 376 $9,668.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $24.38 376 $9,166.88 $9,171.77 $-501.96
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $22.36 410 $9,167.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET $24.64 410 $10,100.35 $10,104.52 +$932.75
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $22.36 451 $10,084.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $24.65 451 $11,117.15 $11,137.31 +$1,032.79
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 459 $11,135.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $23.00 459 $10,559.29 $10,561.26 $-576.05
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:50am ET $22.00 480 $10,557.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $20.89 480 $10,027.25 $10,030.91 $-530.35
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,030.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$30.91
Total Return: +0.31%
Back to Yolanda YOLO