Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.6/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 55.3/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 48.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,436
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,465.86
Current Value
$22,886.44
Period P&L
$8,420.59
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
16 / 20
Best Trade
+12.76%
Worst Trade
-6.51%
Avg Trade Return
+1.61%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,497,727.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,420.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,420.59
Gross Return
+58.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+58.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $14,465.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:45am ET $159.78 89 $14,220.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET $176.07 89 $15,669.99 $15,806.83 +$1,449.57
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:40am ET $189.79 83 $15,752.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $179.75 83 $14,919.25 $14,973.93 $-832.91
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:50am ET $192.48 77 $14,820.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $216.74 77 $16,688.98 $16,841.94 +$1,868.01
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $221.35 76 $16,822.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:15am ET $243.98 76 $18,542.48 $18,561.82 +$1,719.88
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:45am ET $241.64 76 $18,364.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:40am ET $229.24 76 $17,421.86 $17,619.42 $-942.40
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $204.18 86 $17,559.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:50am ET $225.18 86 $19,365.76 $19,425.70 +$1,806.28
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $242.33 80 $19,386.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $228.94 80 $18,315.58 $18,354.88 $-1,070.82
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET $321.60 57 $18,331.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 57 $20,508.63 $20,532.31 +$2,177.43
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $419.84 48 $20,152.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $393.95 48 $18,909.36 $19,289.35 $-1,242.96
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $366.93 52 $19,080.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.19 52 $19,977.88 $20,186.87 +$897.52
(+4.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $405.40 49 $19,864.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $385.00 49 $18,865.00 $19,187.03 $-999.84
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $359.71 53 $19,064.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $400.79 53 $21,241.87 $21,364.27 +$2,177.24
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 50 $21,200.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $401.88 50 $20,094.00 $20,258.27 $-1,106.00
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $377.00 53 $19,981.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 53 $18,966.05 $19,243.32 $-1,014.95
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 56 $19,090.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $376.67 56 $21,093.80 $21,246.38 +$2,003.06
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $495.54 42 $20,812.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $545.55 42 $22,913.10 $23,346.80 +$2,100.42
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $640.23 36 $23,048.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $707.21 36 $25,459.56 $25,757.90 +$2,411.10
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
18 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $772.13 33 $25,480.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:50am ET $732.24 33 $24,163.92 $24,441.53 $-1,316.37
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 33 $24,148.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:50am ET $688.47 33 $22,719.43 $23,012.88 $-1,428.65
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:35am ET $895.29 25 $22,382.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.50 25 $25,237.50 $25,868.13 +$2,855.25
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,007.96 25 $25,198.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $942.31 25 $23,557.75 $24,226.94 $-1,641.19
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $926.52 26 $24,089.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $878.98 26 $22,853.61 $22,991.03 $-1,235.91
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET $1,033.68 22 $22,740.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,137.31 22 $25,020.91 $25,270.98 +$2,279.95
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,078.93 23 $24,815.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,019.03 23 $23,437.69 $23,893.39 $-1,377.59
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,138.53 20 $22,770.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:50am ET $1,081.41 20 $21,628.22 $22,751.01 $-1,142.38
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.73 21 $22,548.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1,012.22 21 $21,256.52 $21,459.20 $-1,291.81
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 23 $21,104.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 23 $23,285.43 $23,640.52 +$2,181.32
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 24 $23,082.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $906.31 24 $21,751.44 $22,309.24 $-1,331.28
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $929.54 24 $22,308.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $881.64 24 $21,159.24 $21,159.50 $-1,149.74
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $808.61 26 $21,023.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $890.48 26 $23,152.48 $23,287.99 +$2,128.49
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $932.00 24 $22,368.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET $884.55 24 $21,229.20 $22,149.19 $-1,138.80
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $801.56 27 $21,642.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $760.80 27 $20,541.60 $21,048.67 $-1,100.52
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $871.53 24 $20,916.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $827.91 24 $19,869.84 $20,001.67 $-1,047.00
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $841.43 23 $19,352.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET $927.25 23 $21,326.75 $21,975.53 +$1,973.86
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
35 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 22 $21,059.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $906.79 22 $19,949.49 $20,865.30 $-1,110.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 22 $20,012.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,001.55 22 $22,034.10 $22,886.44 +$2,021.14
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,886.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,886.44
Total Return: +128.86%
Back to Yolanda YOLO