Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 15.3/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,763
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,536.70
Current Value
$10,290.18
Period P&L
$-2,246.54
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
6 / 12
Best Trade
+11.43%
Worst Trade
-14.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$417,789.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,246.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,246.54
Gross Return
-17.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $12,536.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $312.19 39 $12,175.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $292.31 39 $11,400.09 $11,614.75 $-775.32
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $271.93 42 $11,421.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 11:05am ET $299.44 42 $12,576.27 $12,769.96 +$1,155.21
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $292.81 43 $12,590.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $278.08 43 $11,957.23 $12,136.35 $-633.61
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $218.04 55 $11,992.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $205.55 55 $11,305.25 $11,449.40 $-686.95
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $187.67 61 $11,448.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.88 61 $12,619.68 $12,620.98 +$1,171.58
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $189.08 66 $12,479.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:25am ET $179.59 66 $11,853.18 $11,994.88 $-626.10
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $166.22 72 $11,967.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $157.76 72 $11,358.72 $11,385.76 $-609.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $146.62 77 $11,289.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $138.87 77 $10,692.99 $10,789.01 $-596.75
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $140.98 76 $10,714.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $155.26 76 $11,799.76 $11,874.28 +$1,085.27
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $150.82 78 $11,763.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 78 $12,948.00 $13,058.71 +$1,184.43
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $176.40 74 $13,053.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 74 $12,019.82 $12,025.24 $-1,033.47
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $184.52 65 $11,993.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $203.71 65 $13,241.15 $13,272.59 +$1,247.35
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $231.41 57 $13,190.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $219.25 57 $12,497.25 $12,579.19 $-693.40
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $207.75 60 $12,465.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $178.60 60 $10,716.00 $10,830.19 $-1,749.00
(-14.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $178.59 60 $10,715.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET $169.63 60 $10,177.80 $10,292.59 $-537.60
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:40am ET $126.21 81 $10,223.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $119.84 81 $9,707.04 $9,776.22 $-516.38
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $142.76 68 $9,708.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $159.08 68 $10,817.44 $10,885.64 +$1,109.42
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $141.48 76 $10,752.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:55am ET $133.65 76 $10,157.02 $10,290.18 $-595.46
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,290.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$290.18
Total Return: +2.90%
Back to Yolanda YOLO