Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,359
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,188.16
Current Value
$8,138.73
Period P&L
$-3,049.46
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
18 / 38
Best Trade
+18.80%
Worst Trade
-8.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,270,065.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,049.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,049.46
Gross Return
-27.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 56 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $11,188.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $16.85 639 $10,763.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 9:35am ET $19.04 639 $12,166.56 $12,178.64 +$1,402.61
(+13.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET $16.78 725 $12,164.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:40am ET $18.49 725 $13,401.63 $13,415.93 +$1,237.29
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $19.68 681 $13,398.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:40am ET $21.75 681 $14,808.35 $14,825.60 +$1,409.67
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:45am ET $20.25 732 $14,819.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 1:15pm ET $22.34 732 $16,352.88 $16,359.14 +$1,533.54
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $22.55 725 $16,348.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 2:00pm ET $21.38 725 $15,496.88 $15,507.26 $-851.88
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $20.53 755 $15,500.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 12:45pm ET $22.63 755 $17,081.88 $17,088.99 +$1,581.73
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:45am ET $21.36 800 $17,088.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 1:45pm ET $20.28 800 $16,220.00 $16,220.99 $-868.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 2:10pm ET $20.73 782 $16,208.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $19.51 782 $15,252.91 $15,265.38 $-955.60
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $21.32 716 $15,265.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $20.06 716 $14,362.96 $14,363.22 $-902.16
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:30am ET $20.46 702 $14,360.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $19.39 702 $13,611.78 $13,614.19 $-749.03
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET $17.98 757 $13,610.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $16.45 757 $12,448.87 $12,452.19 $-1,162.00
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET $16.47 756 $12,451.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:05am ET $15.62 756 $11,808.72 $11,809.59 $-642.60
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 11:35am ET $14.04 841 $11,807.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $13.06 841 $10,983.46 $10,985.41 $-824.18
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:45am ET $13.57 809 $10,974.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $12.88 809 $10,416.04 $10,427.37 $-558.05
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $15.59 668 $10,413.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET $14.75 668 $9,856.01 $9,870.12 $-557.25
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET $14.84 664 $9,856.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET $13.98 664 $9,282.72 $9,296.16 $-573.96
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $16.78 554 $9,296.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $18.78 554 $10,404.06 $10,404.10 +$1,107.94
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $17.87 582 $10,400.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET $16.90 582 $9,835.80 $9,839.56 $-564.54
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.70 589 $9,837.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $15.84 589 $9,327.70 $9,329.49 $-510.07
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $14.79 630 $9,317.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $13.96 630 $8,794.80 $8,806.59 $-522.90
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $13.50 652 $8,801.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $12.80 652 $8,342.34 $8,346.99 $-459.59
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $14.49 575 $8,334.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:50am ET $15.94 575 $9,168.37 $9,180.74 +$833.75
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $15.81 580 $9,172.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $17.41 580 $10,094.90 $10,102.94 +$922.20
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $15.36 657 $10,091.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET $16.94 657 $11,132.86 $11,144.29 +$1,041.35
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET $15.62 713 $11,137.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $14.63 713 $10,431.19 $10,438.42 $-705.87
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $13.61 766 $10,425.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $14.98 766 $11,474.68 $11,487.84 +$1,049.42
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET $14.05 817 $11,478.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $13.34 817 $10,894.70 $10,903.68 $-584.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $14.39 757 $10,893.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $13.66 757 $10,340.62 $10,351.07 $-552.61
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET $12.22 847 $10,346.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.57 847 $9,799.79 $9,804.75 $-546.32
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 821 $9,802.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $13.55 821 $11,120.45 $11,122.46 +$1,317.71
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $15.98 696 $11,122.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 696 $12,521.04 $12,521.42 +$1,398.96
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $17.20 727 $12,508.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $16.19 727 $11,773.76 $11,787.15 $-734.27
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 677 $11,779.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 677 $11,182.35 $11,189.70 $-597.45
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET $15.64 715 $11,182.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 715 $13,284.70 $13,291.80 +$2,102.10
(+18.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
35 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $23.91 556 $13,291.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $22.59 556 $12,559.54 $12,560.16 $-731.64
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
36 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $21.97 571 $12,542.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $24.20 571 $13,818.20 $13,836.35 +$1,276.19
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $26.66 518 $13,809.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $25.06 518 $12,981.08 $13,007.60 $-828.75
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $25.56 508 $12,984.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.06 508 $12,222.48 $12,245.60 $-762.00
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.27 449 $12,244.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $30.21 449 $13,564.29 $13,565.66 +$1,320.06
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $27.25 497 $13,540.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $25.80 497 $12,822.60 $12,847.49 $-718.17
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $26.82 479 $12,846.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET $25.25 479 $12,094.75 $12,095.46 $-752.03
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $23.32 518 $12,079.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.10 518 $11,450.39 $11,466.15 $-629.32
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $21.80 525 $11,445.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $20.66 525 $10,846.50 $10,867.65 $-598.50
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $20.18 538 $10,856.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $19.03 538 $10,238.14 $10,248.95 $-618.70
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $17.53 584 $10,237.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $19.35 584 $11,300.40 $11,311.83 +$1,062.88
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $22.83 495 $11,300.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $21.49 495 $10,635.08 $10,646.06 $-665.77
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $20.51 518 $10,626.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET $19.48 518 $10,090.64 $10,109.93 $-536.13
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET $21.23 476 $10,103.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $19.63 476 $9,343.88 $9,350.71 $-759.22
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $22.42 417 $9,349.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.01 417 $8,761.17 $8,762.74 $-587.97
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $20.53 426 $8,745.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:40am ET $19.47 426 $8,294.22 $8,311.18 $-451.56
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $19.90 417 $8,298.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:45am ET $18.89 417 $7,875.05 $7,887.93 $-423.25
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $17.91 440 $7,880.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $19.71 440 $8,672.40 $8,679.93 +$792.00
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $20.82 416 $8,661.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $19.68 416 $8,186.88 $8,205.69 $-474.24
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $19.99 410 $8,195.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $18.98 410 $7,781.80 $7,791.59 $-414.10
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $18.01 432 $7,780.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $19.85 432 $8,575.20 $8,586.47 +$794.88
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $21.06 407 $8,571.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $19.96 407 $8,123.68 $8,138.73 $-447.74
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,138.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,861.27
Total Return: -18.61%
Back to Yolanda YOLO