Compendium › Yolanda YOLO › AVAXUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVAXUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Yolanda YOLO's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-8.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,989.78
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$7,144.83
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,144.83
Current Value
$6,989.78
Period P&L
$-588.22
Max Drawdown
-71.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+10.36%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
-1.28%
Avg Hold Time
16.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$61,069.47
Estimated Fees
$152.67
Gross P&L
$-588.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-740.89
Gross Return
-8.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.37%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $7,144.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $6.01 1,235 $7,425.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 8:00pm ET $6.64 1,235 $8,194.79 $8,194.79 +$730.41
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $7.88 1,040 $8,194.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 5:05am ET $7.47 1,040 $7,769.45 $7,769.45 $-465.25
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 9:05pm ET $10.03 774 $7,769.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 10:50pm ET $9.51 774 $7,362.94 $7,362.94 $-444.34
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 10:10pm ET $11.09 664 $7,362.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:35am ET $10.53 664 $6,989.78 $6,989.78 $-409.04
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,989.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,010.22
Total Return: -30.10%
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