Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 69.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 62.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$44,711.74
Current Value
$42,415.04
Period P&L
$-2,296.66
Max Drawdown
-28.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+11.08%
Worst Trade
-5.14%
Avg Trade Return
-1.08%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$341,224.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,296.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,296.66
Gross Return
-5.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $44,711.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET $111.60 400 $44,640.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $105.86 400 $42,346.00 $42,417.70 $-2,294.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 434 $42,328.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $92.52 434 $40,153.68 $40,243.36 $-2,174.34
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.31 460 $40,162.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $96.98 460 $44,612.41 $44,693.17 +$4,449.81
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $109.12 409 $44,630.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $103.55 409 $42,351.95 $42,415.04 $-2,278.13
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,415.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,415.04
Total Return: +324.15%
Back to Yolanda YOLO