Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

39
+15.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.7 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,518.48
Current Value
$7,290.07
Period P&L
$-4,228.44
Max Drawdown
-59.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
2 / 11
Best Trade
+10.47%
Worst Trade
-7.27%
Avg Trade Return
-3.32%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$210,862.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,228.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,228.44
Gross Return
-36.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-36.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $11,518.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $14.05 822 $11,549.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $13.23 822 $10,875.06 $10,885.57 $-674.04
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $13.69 795 $10,879.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $12.79 795 $10,168.13 $10,174.12 $-711.45
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $12.38 821 $10,163.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $11.73 821 $9,630.33 $9,640.47 $-533.65
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $13.52 712 $9,629.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET $12.69 712 $9,038.84 $9,049.51 $-590.96
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $11.77 769 $9,047.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $10.91 769 $8,389.79 $8,392.01 $-657.50
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $12.23 686 $8,386.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:45am ET $11.53 686 $7,909.58 $7,915.24 $-476.77
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET $10.95 722 $7,905.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET $10.28 722 $7,425.77 $7,435.83 $-479.41
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $11.36 654 $7,429.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $10.77 654 $7,040.31 $7,046.70 $-389.13
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $9.24 762 $7,040.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $8.74 762 $6,659.88 $6,665.70 $-381.00
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $11.68 570 $6,657.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $11.06 570 $6,301.35 $6,309.45 $-356.25
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $11.49 548 $6,299.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:40am ET $10.92 548 $5,984.16 $5,994.35 $-315.10
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET $10.23 585 $5,984.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $11.27 585 $6,590.03 $6,599.83 +$605.48
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $11.27 585 $6,592.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $12.45 585 $7,283.19 $7,290.07 +$690.24
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,290.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,709.93
Total Return: -27.10%
Back to Yolanda YOLO