Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.6/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 55.3/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 48.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$25,100.67
Current Value
$22,886.44
Period P&L
$-2,214.22
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+10.34%
Worst Trade
-5.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$563,628.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,214.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,214.22
Gross Return
-8.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $25,100.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,078.93 23 $24,815.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,019.03 23 $23,437.69 $23,893.39 $-1,377.59
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,138.53 20 $22,770.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:50am ET $1,081.41 20 $21,628.22 $22,751.01 $-1,142.38
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.73 21 $22,548.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1,012.22 21 $21,256.52 $21,459.20 $-1,291.81
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 23 $21,104.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 23 $23,285.43 $23,640.52 +$2,181.32
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 24 $23,082.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $906.31 24 $21,751.44 $22,309.24 $-1,331.28
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $929.54 24 $22,308.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $881.64 24 $21,159.24 $21,159.50 $-1,149.74
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $808.61 26 $21,023.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $890.48 26 $23,152.48 $23,287.99 +$2,128.49
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $932.00 24 $22,368.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET $884.55 24 $21,229.20 $22,149.19 $-1,138.80
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $801.56 27 $21,642.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $760.80 27 $20,541.60 $21,048.67 $-1,100.52
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $871.53 24 $20,916.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $827.91 24 $19,869.84 $20,001.67 $-1,047.00
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $841.43 23 $19,352.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET $927.25 23 $21,326.75 $21,975.53 +$1,973.86
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 22 $21,059.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $906.79 22 $19,949.49 $20,865.30 $-1,110.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 22 $20,012.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,001.55 22 $22,034.10 $22,886.44 +$2,021.14
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,886.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,886.44
Total Return: +128.86%
Back to Yolanda YOLO