Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,707.28
Current Value
$8,138.73
Period P&L
$-5,568.58
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
3 / 14
Best Trade
+10.38%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-2.79%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$335,612.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,568.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,568.58
Gross Return
-40.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-40.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $13,707.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $27.25 497 $13,540.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $25.80 497 $12,822.60 $12,847.49 $-718.17
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $26.82 479 $12,846.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET $25.25 479 $12,094.75 $12,095.46 $-752.03
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $23.32 518 $12,079.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.10 518 $11,450.39 $11,466.15 $-629.32
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $21.80 525 $11,445.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $20.66 525 $10,846.50 $10,867.65 $-598.50
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $20.18 538 $10,856.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $19.03 538 $10,238.14 $10,248.95 $-618.70
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $17.53 584 $10,237.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $19.35 584 $11,300.40 $11,311.83 +$1,062.88
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $22.83 495 $11,300.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $21.49 495 $10,635.08 $10,646.06 $-665.77
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $20.51 518 $10,626.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET $19.48 518 $10,090.64 $10,109.93 $-536.13
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET $21.23 476 $10,103.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $19.63 476 $9,343.88 $9,350.71 $-759.22
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $22.42 417 $9,349.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.01 417 $8,761.17 $8,762.74 $-587.97
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $20.53 426 $8,745.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:40am ET $19.47 426 $8,294.22 $8,311.18 $-451.56
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $19.90 417 $8,298.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:45am ET $18.89 417 $7,875.05 $7,887.93 $-423.25
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $17.91 440 $7,880.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $19.71 440 $8,672.40 $8,679.93 +$792.00
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $20.82 416 $8,661.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $19.68 416 $8,186.88 $8,205.69 $-474.24
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $19.99 410 $8,195.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $18.98 410 $7,781.80 $7,791.59 $-414.10
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $18.01 432 $7,780.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $19.85 432 $8,575.20 $8,586.47 +$794.88
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $21.06 407 $8,571.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $19.96 407 $8,123.68 $8,138.73 $-447.74
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,138.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,861.27
Total Return: -18.61%
Back to Yolanda YOLO