Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:53:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 16.7/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 15.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,138.65
Current Value
$11,848.82
Period P&L
$2,710.20
Max Drawdown
-54.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+13.35%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
+2.35%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$273,514.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,710.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,710.20
Gross Return
+29.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,138.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $164.63 55 $9,054.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 55 $10,171.70 $10,255.40 +$1,116.78
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.84 57 $10,250.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 57 $11,366.08 $11,370.61 +$1,115.21
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $196.05 57 $11,174.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 57 $10,567.52 $10,763.27 $-607.34
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $203.30 52 $10,571.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 11:55am ET $192.65 52 $10,017.85 $10,209.52 $-553.75
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $177.21 57 $10,100.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:00am ET $168.30 57 $9,593.10 $9,701.82 $-507.70
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $157.55 61 $9,610.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $149.57 61 $9,123.47 $9,214.73 $-487.09
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $155.85 59 $9,195.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 59 $10,124.40 $10,143.98 +$929.25
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $164.24 61 $10,018.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $154.18 61 $9,404.98 $9,530.32 $-613.66
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $143.25 66 $9,454.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:05am ET $158.80 66 $10,480.80 $10,556.62 +$1,026.30
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $153.41 68 $10,432.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 68 $11,825.20 $11,949.60 +$1,392.98
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 77 $11,802.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $144.68 77 $11,140.36 $11,287.40 $-662.20
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:50am ET $142.46 79 $11,254.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET $158.13 79 $12,492.66 $12,525.72 +$1,238.32
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $178.30 70 $12,481.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $168.63 70 $11,804.10 $11,848.82 $-676.90
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,848.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,848.82
Total Return: +18.49%
Back to Yolanda YOLO